Trump
has attempted to govern by executive orders (largely unsuccessfully, thanks to
the barrage of litigation that has been brought against
the lawless regime), tied the economy up in knots with a tariff frenzy, and
secured a continuing resolution in March thanks to the foolish
capitulation of Senate Democrats.
Otherwise,
he has accomplished none of his legislative objectives. Even
more embarrassingly, MAGA Republicans are on defense, trying to pass a
massively unpopular tax and spending bill. Part of their failure can be
attributed to internal dysfunction, but popular protest and effective
inside/outside maneuvering from House Democrats have played key roles.
House
Democrats did not have the votes to stop the bill, but they made the vote razor
close and exacted quite a pound of flesh from Republicans in the process.
Democratic staff have provided a detailed account of the struggle Republicans
went through to pass a widely disparaged bill that has caused the bond market to quiver and has drawn the ire of
everyone from Sen. Josh Hawley (R-Mo.) to Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.).
On Friday,
May 16, the House Freedom Caucus Republicans rebuffed the House GOP leadership
bill. But late Sunday night (the first of several late-night
maneuvers underscoring the legislation’s unpopularity), the GOP-controlled
Budget Committee sent the bill over to the Rules Committee.
Before
dawn on Wednesday morning, the House Rules Committee convened to try
to jam home the bill. House Democrats, lacking numbers to defeat the measure,
nevertheless gummed up the works for hours. Inside the Capitol, Democrats,
starting with House leadership, sent 100 members to testify for 20 hours with
some 500 amendments.
This
dragged out the debate during the day, requiring Republicans to do exactly what
they did not want to do—take scores of votes defending a
hugely unpopular bill. (It’s no coincidence that Democrats on the House Rules
Committee had their act together; unlike other committees, these members are
handpicked by the Minority Leader.)
Debate
went late into Wednesday night, when the Democrats convened a House
caucus meeting. According to a Democratic source, Minority Leader Hakeem
Jeffries (R- N.Y.) told his members: “We’re in a moment of maximum engagement.”
He added: “This is just one round in an epic contest. And they made this bill
more extreme. It’s gonna make their swing-seat Republicans even more
vulnerable.”
“We’re in a moment of maximum engagement.”
Just
before midnight, Democrats tried to adjourn to give members time to make the
slew of changes Republicans had rammed through. Republicans refused, meaning
virtually no Republican took the time to read or review the bill in any detail.
The bill finally came to the floor for a vote on Thursday morning at
around 6:00 a.m. Every Democrat voted against it. The bill passed with the
smallest margin (215-214), with two Republicans missing the vote, another two
voting no, and one voting present.
House
Democrats also played the outside game, as they have been doing from the time
Democrats started showing up at GOP members’ town halls. At least a dozen
Democrats went out in force on traditional media and, in a break with the past,
sought out spots via new media to lambaste a scheme that would take away
healthcare coverage, food aid, and green investments to fund tax cuts to the
super-rich.
Democrats
in the House, as they did in 2017 when the Affordable Care Act was on the
chopping block, ultimately did not have the votes to stop the GOP bill. But
they did the next best thing: they forced vulnerable House members to take
rotten votes and make the bill unpalatable to many Senate Republicans—not to
mention most Americans.
Jeffries told Republicans on the floor on Thursday, May 22: Because the American people are paying attention, they are smarter than you think, and they know when they are being hurt. They know when their interests are not being served, and they know when they have been lied to and deceived. Labeling Republicans as flunkies of Trump, Elon Musk, JD Vance, and billionaires, he could lay claim to Democrats being the party for ordinary Americans.
Outside
activists can claim credit for having mobilized the public, focused the media
on the egregious aspects of the bill, stiffened Democrats’ spines, added
pressure on Republicans, and carried the message that this is a reverse Robin
Hood bill that will come back to haunt Republicans. Senate Democrats, not known
to be as vigorous and aggressive as their House counterparts, are now in the
spotlight. Their challenge is to draw out enough Republican opponents to sink
or hugely modify the bill.
It’s
far from clear what will happen next. According to polling, the bill is
unpopular, underwater in approval by double-digits. Rather than be the
centerpiece of the GOP agenda, it has fast become an albatross around the necks
of every Republican. Nevertheless, they have made egregious statements in
defense of the bill, which includes the most devastating Medicaid cuts in history.
Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa) provided Democrats with the talking point they could
dream of: Republicans justifying cuts to Medicaid because “We’re all going to die.”
Even business leaders are in panic mode. The Wall Street
Journal related Jamie Dimon’s dire warning at the Reagan Nation Economic Club:
“You are going to see a crack in the bond market, OK? It is going to happen.”
The Journal explained, “Bond markets have been rattled by the prospect that the
already wobbly fiscal situation in the U.S. will worsen, should tax legislation
backed by President Trump become law.” The Journal confirmed it would add
trillions to the deficit. (No wonder Rand Paul is up in arms.)
In
sum, over the next couple of weeks, Democrats in the Senate and a united
opposition throughout the country must make certain the public understands
exactly what Republicans are trying to pull off. “For the rest of this
Congress, House Democrats will continue to expose the so-called moderate
Republicans who spent weeks pretending they would protect healthcare,
nutritional assistance, and clean energy jobs — only to quickly cave to Donald
Trump and Elon Musk,” Jeffries vowed.
If
Republicans pass this nightmarish bill, their own constituents will suffer from
severe Medicaid, SNAP, and green energy, setting them up for defeat in 2026. If
they don’t pass it, the Trump tax cuts will expire, the MAGA base will be in an
uproar, and Trump’s presidency will be in tatters. House Democrats deserve
credit for carrying the ball this far; now it is up to Senate Democrats to keep
the public engaged and fully expose GOP lies seeking to provide cover for a
bill no one can defend on the merits.
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