Tuesday, March 10, 2026

The Most Dangerous Weapon Ever Aimed at America Isn't a Missile. It's the deliberate, systematic destruction of your ability to know what's real...

We got more lies this morning from the Pentagon press briefing. They’re now up to 17 different rationalizations for the attack on Iran, none of which makes sense. To paraphrase Rod Serling, consider what happened in Minab, Iran.

A Tomahawk cruise missile, an American weapon, a weapon that Iran doesn’t own and can’t fire, struck a girls’ elementary school. One hundred and seventy-five people are dead, most of them little girls who showed up that morning to learn to read. And Donald Trump stood in front of cameras and said Iran did it. He lied. About dead children. Without blinking. And his crew backed him up, even knowing it was a lie.

And now the corporate media will spend two days on this and then move on to whatever shiny object the White House throws next. That isn’t an aberration: it’s the GOP’s entire strategy. This is who they are and have been since Reagan pioneered the scam: a PR machine front for an iron-fisted oligarchy.

I’ve been studying authoritarian movements for forty years, including in my book The Hidden History of American Oligarchy. I’ve written about how Hitler rose to power, how Mussolini consolidated his grip on Italy, how the Confederates took over the American South, how strongmen from Budapest to Brasília have used the same playbook again and again.

And the first page of that fascist and neofascist playbook is always the same: “Destroy the concept of shared truth.”

Not any particular truth. Not “this lie” or “that lie.” The concept of truth itself. Make people so exhausted, so confused, so beaten down by the constant barrage of contradictions, lies, and naked bullshit that they give up trying to figure out what’s real. Make cynicism feel like wisdom and encourage your “influencers” to make it cool. Make “nobody knows anything” feel like a reasonable way to understand what’s happening.

Because once you’ve done that, once you’ve convinced enough people that truth is just whatever you say no matter how outrageous or transparently false it is, you can do pretty much anything.

— You can bomb a school full of little girls and blame the victims.
— You can try to rig an election and, when you lose, call it stolen from you.
— You can watch a million Americans die and say the virus is just going to disappear.
— You can claim that tax cuts for billionaires will help average working-class people.
— You can say that increasing poisons in the air and on our crops will Make America Healthy Again.
—You can argue that destroying unions will increase working people’s standard of living.
— You can claim that taking people’s healthcare away “encourages individual initiative” and “independence.”

Trump didn’t invent this. But my G-d, has he ever perfected it.

Trump also didn’t build this lie machine all by himself. Most of it was built for him, over a period of fifty years, with billions of dollars, by morbidly rich people who never appear on television and never have to answer for any of it.

In 1971, a corporate lawyer named Lewis Powell wrote a memo to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce that became the blueprint for the takeover of America by the richest men in the country. Powell told the business community that they were losing America, that universities, the press, and the courts were all turning against “free enterprise,” and that if corporations didn’t fight back systematically and aggressively, capitalism itself was at risk.

What followed was one of the most consequential fifty-year projects in American political history, every bit as nation-changing and dangerous as the Confederate movement of the 1840s.

— Think tanks were funded to produce “alternative” academic research that would always reach the “right” conclusions.
— Conservative media was built from the ground up, from 1,500 AM talk radio stations to Fox “News” to the rightwing takeover of social media, all to create an information ecosystem where Republican voters would never have to encounter an uncomfortable fact.
— Public schools and Civics classes were defunded and attacked, because an educated citizenry asks too many questions.
— Local newspapers, the institutions that actually hold local power accountable, were starved out of existence.

Charles and David Koch alone spent hundreds of millions of dollars seeding distrust in climate science, in government, in the very idea that collective action could solve collective problems. And they were just the tip of a massive iceberg. This wasn’t an accident; it was a strategy. And that strategy had one ultimate goal: to create a population of Americans so skeptical of institutions, so distrustful of expertise, so certain that everyone is lying all the time, that they’d be willing to believe anything.

Donald Trump didn’t create those people. They were created for him by these cynical billionaires. And that means that removing Trump from power won’t dismantle the machine. Unless it’s defeated along with Trump, it’ll just produce another Trump, a smarter one, one who doesn’t make his lies and corruption quite so obvious.

The numbers around this project are staggering. Thirty thousand naked lies or misleading statements Donald Trump made during his first term alone. The Washington Post counted them: over thirty thousand.

That’s a man who woke up every single morning with the intention of deceiving the American people. That isn’t occasional dishonesty or spin: it’s a psychopathy — pathological lying — deployed as a governing strategy. And it worked for Trump, just like it worked for Mussolini, Hitler, Putin, and Orbán before him.

— He told people that Barack Obama, a man who released his birth certificate, a man whose Hawaiian birth was verified by state officials, a man who graduated from Harvard Law, was secretly a Kenyan. Millions of people believed it then and millions still do to this day.

— He told people three million illegal ballots were cast against him in 2016 and that he won in 2020. While repeated investigations by reporters, federal agencies, and even courts (including the Supreme Court) found no evidence, he keeps saying it anyway.

— He told people Covid would disappear. “One day, like a miracle, it’ll just go away.” Over a half-million Americans are in the ground because of the lies Trump told during those early critical months when action could’ve saved lives.

— And then he told us all the biggest lie of all, the lie that almost ended the American experiment with democracy. When he lost in 2020 — lost fairly, lost decisively, lost in a contest that his own Attorney General, his own Homeland Security officials, his own judges said was legitimate — Donald Trump told his followers the election had been stolen.

Sixty-plus lawsuits, thrown out by every court that heard them. Even his own people told him the fraud claims weren’t true. Nonetheless, he lied about it anyway. Louder. On repeat. For months. And on January 6th, 2021, his mob stormed the United States Capitol, our Capitol, the symbol of 250 years of democratic governance, because this twisted man had spent months pouring gasoline on their rage and then lit the match at a rally a few blocks away.

People died. Police officers were beaten and four of them died. Members of Congress hid under their desks. And Donald Trump giddily watched it on television and did nothing for hours. That’s who’s running the United States of America right now.

His supporters will tell you, as they always tell you, “That was then.” Move on. Stop living in the past. But here’s the thing: he never stopped.

— Back in power, he’s now claiming inflation was at record levels when he took office. It wasn’t.
— He’s claiming gas prices have dropped below two dollars in some states. They haven’t.
— He says climate change is a hoax; it’s not.
— He’s reviving the zombie lie that undocumented immigrants vote in American elections, a claim that multiple rigorous studies (including by the Heritage Foundation) have demolished but Republicans keep reciting, because it serves the GOP’s purpose of making Americans distrust their own elections.
— He’s pushing discredited claims linking vaccines to autism. He’s the President of the United States and he’s telling parents not to trust medicines that have saved millions of lives, based on a sham study that was retracted decades ago because the author fabricated the data.
— He’s claiming America pays for nearly the entire NATO alliance. We don’t. We pay a significant share, but twenty-nine other nations contribute. This isn’t a matter of interpretation; it’s arithmetic.

These aren’t gaffes or misstatements. They’re deliberate lies. Each one chips away at some aspect of American life and governance, at trust in elections, trust in science, trust in institutions, trust in the basic idea that we can all look at the same facts and reach the same conclusions.

That’s the goal of these billionaires who fund the GOP and put Trump into office. And their buddy, Vladimir Putin, whose bots so heavily populate our social media. It’s always been their goal. And it was their goal long before Donald Trump came down that escalator.

And then there are Trump’s toadies and lickspittles, the hangers-on. Let’s not let the enablers off the hook, because this machine doesn’t even remotely run on Trump alone.

Pete Hegseth, an alcoholic wife-beater whose own mother called him “an abuser of women” who, she wrote, “belittles, lies, cheats, sleeps around, and uses women for his own power and ego” was handed the most powerful military in human history despite having no meaningful qualifications for the job. He was confirmed by Republicans in the Senate in what future historians will call one of the greatest acts of institutional cowardice in American history.

This is the man who stood in front of cameras after Minab and said Iran was the only side targeting civilians. One hundred and sixty dead children. Footage of an American Tomahawk missile. And Pete Hegseth looked America in the eye and lied.

Hegseth, Vance, Noem, Bondi, Miller, Vought, et al, aren’t confused or mistaken. They absolutely know what they’re doing and what lies they’re telling. And they’re counting on enough of us being too tired, too overwhelmed, too beaten down by 50 years of relentless Republican dishonesty to push back.

Don’t be.

Democracy isn’t a building. It’s not a flag or even a Constitution, as important as that document is. Democracy is a shared agreement, an agreement that we’ll resolve our differences through votes and not violence, that we’ll be governed by facts and not whoever yells the loudest, that when we disagree about what happened we can at least look at the evidence together.

That agreement didn’t just happen into existence; it took over three centuries to build. It was, as I write in The Hidden History of American Democracy, built on the Enlightenment and Native American idea that reason matters, that evidence is meaningful, that human beings are capable of governing themselves when they’re told the truth and well-informed.

This fifty-year project I’m describing has been a direct assault on that very idea of self-governance. Defund the schools. Kill the local press. Teach people that experts are “elitists,” science is opinion, and government is always the enemy. Then stand back and watch what happens to a democracy that’s been hollowed out from the inside.

Donald Trump is what happens. CBS is what happens. An unprovoked war against Iran is what happens.

Our nation’s Founders and the Framers of the Constitution understood this. They knew that a free press and an educated citizenry aren’t luxuries: they’re the load-bearing walls of the republic. Knock them out and the whole thing comes down.

We’ve been watching someone kick at them for fifty years. Trump is just the most recent, least sophisticated, and grossest wrecking ball they finally decided to throw at us. And a hundred and sixty children in Minab are dead, and the men responsible are pointing their fingers at the country they bombed and saying, “Iran did it.” Trump is basically inviting Iranian partisans to attack America with the ferocity and style of 9/11, hoping it’ll provoke a “rally around the president” moment like Bush got and the Reichstag Fire did.

As fascism expert Timothy Snyder writes: “A purpose of the war on Iran might well be to provoke a terrorist attack inside the United States. This would provide Donald Trump with a pretext to try to cancel or ‘federalize’ the coming Congressional elections.”

This is what it looks like when a democracy is in genuine danger. The rightwing lie machine was built to make you feel like nothing you do matters. Like it’s all just too big. Like you’re way too small. Like the liars always win, so, “Why bother?” That’s both the first and the last lie they need you to believe. Don’t.

 -Thom Hartmann


"Distracted by War to Notice"

 


Funny how Trump's DOJ quietly dumped hidden Epstein files the same week bombs started falling on Iran. After an NPR investigation revealed dozens of pages were withheld from the public Epstein database, the Justice Department finally posted 16 new pages covering three FBI interview summaries with a woman who accused Trump of sexually assaulting her when she was a minor. 

Their excuse? The documents were "incorrectly coded as duplicative." Sure. Just a little clerical error that happened to bury every single interview mentioning the President.

The woman told FBI agents that Epstein brought her to meet Trump when she was approximately 13 years old, and she described in graphic terms how Trump allegedly assaulted her and how she fought back. The FBI sat down with her four separate times. That's not how you treat someone you think is lying.

Miami Herald reporter Julie K. Brown reported that DOJ officials who spoke with this woman found her credible, noting they wouldn't have conducted four interviews otherwise. And it's still not over. Even after this release, 37 pages remain missing from the public database, including notes from the interviews and internal communications about how the case was resolved.

The timing here is impossible to ignore. Google searches for the Epstein files plummeted after the Iran strikes began, according to one analyst who called the war a "distraction" from Trump's worst domestic crises.

Even Republican Rep. Thomas Massie saw through it, posting that bombing Iran "won't make the Epstein files go away." AOC put it bluntly: if the Epstein files have such a hold on this administration that they're willing to risk world war to save themselves politically, that alone is grounds for removal. Pam Bondi got subpoenaed. Millions of pages remain hidden. And the President of the United States is hoping you're too distracted by war to notice. Don't be.

-The Other 98%


Monday, March 9, 2026

Happy 67th Birthday, Barbie (March 9, 1959)


"Math class is tough" by Glen Brown

Sure, it doesn’t add up:
countless camping and skiing trips with Ken,
swimming and skating parties without danger,
dancing and shopping engagements
with Midge and Skipper
like an infinite summer vacation.
Nothing here hints at a dull math class
for integral Barbie and her complex playmates!
Even her curvaceous body
proves mathematically impossible.
She’s an isosceles bimbo
with the whole greater than the sum of her parts.
Just bend her at an obtuse angle,
press her into her pink Porsche
and watch her scud across miles of linoleum
or catapult down the stairs.
You’ll know that her appeal
is an equation of Euclidean beauty and speed.
She doesn’t need school.
She was created to multiply
fantasy by freedom in every young girl’s mind.
Why be upset when Barbie says,
"Math class is tough."
You can always add for her –
the numberless accessories
to her expression of the American dream.


“Euclid and Barbie” was originally published with a different title in South Coast Poetry Journal, 1993.
“Euclid and Barbie” was also published with a different title in an anthology entitled A Taste of Poetry, Chicago Style in 1996.


"The Trump regime’s level of recklessness and indifference to human life and international order should appall all Americans"

 

Everyone saw this coming except the President.” An “unmitigated disaster of epic proportions.” Were these the words from Democrats decrying Donald Trump for failing to plan to evacuate hundreds of thousands of civilians under a blizzard of retaliatory fire raining down on the Gulf States? No, those were Republicans excoriating former president Joe Biden for the botched 2021 exit from Afghanistan. Back then, Rep. Steve Scalise (R-LA) thundered, “It’s a very dire situation when you see the United States Embassy being evacuated.”

Fast forward to last week. The Trump regime closed down three of our embassies (Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, and Kuwait), abandoning U.S. citizens in those countries. Trump’s minions failed to consider advanced planning to evacuate Americans from the region, leaving them to fend for themselves in places where missiles are flying and buildings are ablaze.

Story after story has documented Americans scaredstranded, and left to find their own transportation out of countries made dangerous by his careless whims. Many have expressed their understandably fury that their government could be so derelict. The State Department has failed spectacularly in one of its essential missions — protecting Americans around the world.

The Trump regime’s level of recklessness and indifference to human life and international order should appall all Americans. Trump’s excuse for making no evacuation plans — “Well, because it happened all very quickly” — is ludicrous, considering the U.S. and Israel apparently spent months planning the military assault. His jaw-dropping admission that Iran’s bombardment of neighboring countries in retaliation was “probably the biggest surprise” reflects how little thought he put into a war with global ramifications.

Even in Afghanistan in 2021, after initial mayhem, the State Department scrambled, mounted a all-hands-on-deck rescue operation, enlisted personnel worldwide, and evacuated over 100,000 people in just a couple weeks. We see no comparable sense of urgency now.

Foreign policy professionals who have planned and executed mass evacuations of civilians in war zones over decades blasted Trump’s negligence. State Department veteran and Middle East expert Jeffrey Feltman recently argued, “It is a complete dereliction of duty for President Trump and his administration to have been planning this war for the past month, however long it’s been since they’ve been moving assets, without planning for an evacuation of American citizens.” He expounded on the cavalier and irresponsibly failure to protect Americans:

You know, Biden rightly got criticized for the shambolic withdrawal from Afghanistan. But we’re talking now about the potential of… American citizens being trapped in 14 different countries when they could have been planning all along for how they were going to deal with this. Right now, right now, the statements are, “Use commercial means to leave.” Well, there are no commercial means to leave. There’s been some hints they’re looking at this, but they could have put all this in place.

How could they not have expected a country with a stockpile of missiles would retaliate across the region, endangering tens of thousands of Americans? Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Trump’s pathetic excuses for neglecting elemental steps to protect Americans left Democrats, ordinary people, and foreign policy insiders flabbergasted.

Sen. Andy Kim (D-N.J.) reported his office was inundated with “panicked calls from Americans stuck in the Middle East, outraged that our government has provided zero evacuation support.” Combat veteran Sen. Tammy Duckworth (D-Ill.) was outraged by the absence of any “evacuation plan for Americans in the region when he launched his reckless, needless and unconstitutional war of choice against Iran.” Others joined in denouncing the institutional malpractice.

Bottom of Form

This display of incompetence should not surprise us, given that the MAGA crew harbors such contempt for government. The massive cuts and loss of scores of foreign policy professionals (collectively representing centuries of experience) mean institutional knowledge is scarce. DOGE cuts conducted by know-nothing twenty year olds, partisan witch hunts, early retirements, and mass resignations have hollowed out the State Department, leaving it in the hands of a skeletal staff retained for their political loyalty — not expertise and experience. (Rubio also slashed staff at the National Security Council, which is supposed to oversee interagency planning.) In any other administration, the secretary of state/national security adviser would get canned or forced to resign in disgrace after such management malpractice.

As Columbia University Professor Elizabeth Saunders explained, Trump and Rubio’s “gutting of the State Department and blowtorching of US diplomatic capacity and credibility is an accelerant to this spiraling war and will seriously undercut US/allied efforts to pick up the pieces after.” If they bollixed up something as foreseeable as evacuations, imagine what chaos will ensure when the fighting stops.

For over a year, buffoonish Cabinet secretaries and their senior advisers have demonstrated the Trump regime is no “meritocracy.” As in all corrupt regimes that value sycophancy over competence, avoidable errors multiply over time. Americans trapped in a regional war zone (not to mention our armed service and regional allies) now pay the price for an unhinged and impulsive president enabled by careless, juvenile advisers who think war is a video game.

Meanwhile, no one at the White House has the temerity to contradict Trump’s “gut” impulses. Without aides to restrain Trump’s whims (e.g., Mr. President we need to get the Americans out first), he blunders forward. To compound the problem, MAGA’s cult of personality that necessitates Republicans abdicate their legislative responsibilities, Congress would have voted for a war powers resolution, or at the very least, initiated aggressive oversight. Alas, the Republicans (who have time to quiz the Clintons behind closed doors about the pedophile scandal) show no interest in determining how this travesty unfolded and what is being done to remedy it. Instead, Hill staffers are left to field angry calls from constituents begging for help.

Congress must rouse itself to focus on a foreign policy disaster that makes the Iraq War look like a masterstroke. Rubio and other top officials under oath and in public should answer for their lapses, account for every dime spent, and give Congress some basic information. (What is the plan to extract Americans? When does the war end? Are we now targeting civilians?) The last thing Congress should do is agree to any request, as the Trump team is reportedly contemplating, to shovel more money into the coffers of this gang of bumblers.

Unfortunately, we know how this will play out. Trump and his arrogant yes-men will never admit error, let alone apologize; Republicans on the Hill will not stir themselves to do their jobs. It will be up to the voters to throw out every elected Republican and force removal of the architects of this catastrophe. Until that happens, Americans here and abroad will needlessly suffer and die.

-Jennifer Rubin, The Contrarian is community-supported. To enable our work, help get the best people elected, contribute to legal battles, and keep this movement alive and engaged, please join the fight as a subscriber.

 

Sunday, March 8, 2026

"Trump is a symptom. The deeper illness is collective"

 


I used to wonder how it was possible that Trump could have won in 2016, and then again in 2024, given how emotionally toxic and depraved he is. I don’t wonder anymore. I think he won for that exact reason. Because he carried at least one broken shard to reflect the broken shards in millions of others.

If you’re a racist, you found your guy. If you’re a misogynist, you found your guy. If money is your only religion, you found your guy. If your heart is armored shut, you found your guy. If you mock the disabled, you found your guy. If intelligence makes you insecure, you found your guy. If you’re a sexual predator, you found your guy. If you trade in humiliation and conspiracy and filth, you found your guy. 

If you’ve never done a single hour of emotional inventory, you found your guy. If you cheat, stiff contractors, bankrupt your obligations, and call it savvy, you found your guy. If you lie as easily as you breathe, you found your guy. 

If cruelty feels like strength, you found your guy. If white grievance is your comfort food, you found your guy. If your ego is a black hole no title can fill, you found your guy. If warmongering fuels your ego, you found your guy, If empathy feels like weakness and dominance feels like oxygen, you found your guy.

If he’d only carried one or two of these pathologies, he might have been dismissed as just another loud, damaged man. But he carried a buffet of them. That was the appeal. Millions could locate themselves somewhere in the wreckage. They didn’t have to agree with all of it. They just had to recognize a piece of themselves in it.

It was never really about him. It was about the validation. The absolution. The permission. He didn’t invent the resentment; he amplified it. He didn’t create the cruelty; he normalized it. He gave millions the intoxicating relief of hearing their ugliest impulses echoed back at rally volume.

Trump is a symptom. The deeper illness is collective. If there’s one sentence that defines his power, it’s this: “He says the things I’m thinking.” And that’s the part that should chill us. Because what does it say about us that so many were thinking those things? 

That tens of millions of Americans harbored resentments so deep, so seething, that they were simply waiting for a demagogue to baptize them as virtue. That after decades of supposed progress on race, gender, and equality, so many white men felt so threatened, so displaced, so furious, that cruelty became a political platform.

Maybe we were living in a fool’s paradise, mistaking silence for healing, politeness for progress. Now the mask is off. Now we know. And knowing is a far more dangerous place to stand.

– Michael Jochum, Not Just a Drummer: Reflections on Art, Politics, Dogs, and the Human Condition


Trump's Illegal, Avoidable, Deadly, Costly War with Iran

 


Trump transgressions occupied my week: the illegal war on Iran and the unlawful demolition of the Kennedy Center. I coauthored a bipartisan Contrarian exposé of the former and filed for emergency relief to stop the latter. And though the devastation of the Iran war cannot be compared with the destruction of the Kennedy Center, I was struck by what we can learn from — and do about — each.

On Iran, there is much to say, as I explained in my Contrarian essay with Republican luminaries who formerly served in senior roles in all three branches of the federal government. The war is grossly illegal. But there is, alas, little to be done in my preferred venue for action, the courts. They have erected strict barriers to suing in this area. (My colleagues and I did come up with one idea I am trying to develop into a case; stay tuned for that in future weeks.)

I was, however, able to take action on a domestic legal violation by seeking expedited relief in our Kennedy Center case to stop the destruction of that cultural treasure. We first brought this matter on behalf of Rep. Joyce Beatty (D-OH) with Nathaniel Zelinsky and other colleagues at Washington Litigation Group to reverse Donald Trump’s attempt to add his name to the Kennedy Center. Now we’ve amended it to stop the plans to close and demolish the Kennedy Center, and we are asking for rapid review from the court, as we explained on the Contrarian YouTube channel. You make all that possible with your paid subscriptions.

Different as they are, these topics do share touchpoints. Above all, both exhibit profound contempt for the rule of law. In the case of Iran, the Constitution gives Congress the power to take this kind of action, pure and simple. There is no excuse for failing to get congressional authorization, and no president has ever tried something of this scope and scale without doing so.

Of course, it is true that presidents of both parties have committed offenses against the text of the Constitution and the War Powers Resolution, but assembling those lesser transgressions into a single justification will not fly.

And then there’s the matter of the UN Charter, which the U.S. Senate ratified in 1945. That means it has been and continues to be the “law of the land.” The president is required to follow it. Instead, the Trump administration has grossly violated it, including by openly calling for regime change, carrying out the assassination of a foreign leader, and launching a war of aggression in the absence of an imminent threat.

There’s much more that I, along with Judge J. Michael Luttig (Article III), former Sen. John Danforth (Article I), expert ethics attorney Richard Painter (Article II), and others outline in our essay, which I hope you will read.

Though hardly comparable, we cannot ignore the illegalities occurring here at home, like what has happened with the Kennedy Center. Even renaming it (the subject of our pending case) was a flagrant violation of a clear dictate of Congress — and shutting it down for demolition and remodeling, as Trump proposes to do despite Congress ordering it be a “living memorial” to the slain president, would be, too.  

And that’s not to mention the devastating impact on the other statutorily mandated purposes of the Kennedy Center. That includes serving as an arts hub for the nation. According to the law, the Kennedy Center Board must “present classical and contemporary music, opera, drama, dance, and other performing arts from the United States and other countries” and serve as a leader in “arts education and policy,” among other functions.

The risk of losing the Kennedy Center as we know it is too great to ignore. It may never recover, particularly if Trump largely demolishes it. That is precisely why, with your support, we have amended our complaint and are challenging this blatantly illegal effort in court with full force, alongside our outstanding co-counsel. We are hopeful that the court will intervene to halt this repeated sidestepping of Congress and to protect a storied institution that belongs to the American public, not Donald Trump.

No, it’s not the same as stopping an illegal war. That was up to Congress — and the president’s party again failed us this week. But it is an important initiative to maintain the rule of law, protect Congress’s role under Article I, and keep the fight moving forward where we can. We’ve done that in 265 cases and matters to date — and we are going to keep going (including with that litigation idea we’re developing related to the Iran war). That is thanks to your paid subscriptions, and so of course is all of our scintillating Contrarian coverage. See for yourself in this week’s roundup put together by my wonderful colleagues.

An Illegal War

Trump Brings America Closer to a Quagmire in Iran

Brian Katulis diagnosed Trump’s second-term foreign policy as “strikes without strategy” and wrote on what America must now do to avoid another forever war. “If you don’t know where you’re going, any road will take you there, and it will likely lead you astray.”

Operation Epic Fury and the Law

Brian Finucane took us inside the illegality of Trump’s operation in Iran — and what it will take to hold him to account under the Constitution, the War Powers Resolution, and international law. “There is no silver bullet solution to the problem of a president bypassing Congress to enact force unilaterally.”

Trump’s Avoidable, Deadly, Costly War with Iran

On the podcast this week, Sen. Andy Kim (D-NJ) and Rep. Adam Smith (D-WA) asked: Where is the intelligence or evidence that an attack from Iran was imminent? They’ve seen none. See also: Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA) condemning what he calls “ a War of Choice,” and Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-OR) on “funding an Unconstitutional War.”

-Norman Eisen

Selling Out / Cashing In

An Illegal, Unjustified War Underscores Danger of Media Consolidation

Jen Rubin wrote on how, on the advent of Trump’s deadly operation in Iran, the stakes of the journalism crisis grow even higher. “Major news events — including complex wars — highlight the danger in allowing a few MAGA billionaires to control our news.”

The Contrarian is reader-supported. To receive new posts, enable our work, help with litigation efforts, and keep this opposition movement alive and engaged, please consider joining the fight by becoming a paid subscriber.


Saturday, March 7, 2026

Persian Gulf desalination plants could become military targets in regional war

 

Three people walk through a massive space with many large pipes and valves.

The internal workings of desalination plants can be massive and very complex. Fayez Nureldine/AFP via Getty Images

Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and neighboring countries in the Persian Gulf region use the fossil fuels under their desert lands not only to make money, but also to make drinking water. The petroleum they produce powers more than 400 desalination plants, which turn seawater into drinkable water.

In the war that began on Feb. 28, 2026, with U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran, retaliatory attacks from Iranian forces have hit oil refineries and natural gas plants and disrupted tourism and aviation. Those attacks all hurt Gulf nations’ economies and their hard-won reputations for safety and stability.

But Iranian strikes have also already hit close to a key desalination plant in Dubai. Iranian strikes on March 2 on Dubai’s Jebel Ali port hit about 12 miles (20 kilometers) away from a massive complex with 43 desalination units that are key to the city’s production of more than 160 billion gallons of water each year.

And there has already been damage to the UAE’s Fujairah F1 power and water plant and at Kuwait’s Doha West plant. In both cases, the damage seems to have stemmed from attacks on nearby ports or from falling debris from drone interceptions.

Saltwater kingdoms

The region’s monarchies are often described as petro-states, but they have also become what I call saltwater kingdoms, global superpowers in the production of human-made fresh water drawn from the sea. Desalination is part of the reason there are golf courses, fountains, water parks and even indoor ski slopes with manufactured snow.

All together, eight of the 10 largest desalination plants in the world are in the Arabian Peninsula. Israel’s two Sorek plants round out the list. The countries of the Arabian Peninsula have about 60% of global water-desalination capacity. And plants close to Iran, around the Persian Gulf and the Arabian Sea, produce more than 30% of the world’s desalinated water.

Roughly 100 million people in the Gulf region rely on desalination plants for their water. Without them, almost nobody would be able to live in Kuwait, Qatar and the UAE – or much of Saudi Arabia, including its capital, Riyadh.

Sabotage of water supplies

CIA worries about attacks on Gulf region desalination plants date back to the 1980s. During Saddam Hussein’s 1990 invasion of Kuwait, those worries became real. After coalition forces began bombing Iraqi positions in January 1991, part of Iraqi troops’ response was to release millions of barrels of crude oil into the Persian Gulf. As the massive oil slick drifted south, U.S. and Saudi officials feared it was meant to sabotage desalination systems.

Workers installed protective booms to shield intake valves at major plants, especially the one that supplies much of Riyadh’s water. In Kuwait, Iraqi sabotage damaged or destroyed much of the country’s desalination capacity.

Kuwaiti authorities also turned to Turkey and Saudi Arabia to supply some 750 water tankers and 200 trucks to import an 18-ton emergency supply of bottled water. U.S.-supplied generators and mobile desalination units provided additional temporary relief, though the full recovery took years.

More recent threats

Fears of attacks on desalination plants resurfaced after Yemen’s Houthi movement launched drones and missiles at Saudi facilities at Al-Shuqaiq in 2019 and 2022 – though they did no lasting damage.

Iran’s weapons are far more numerous and sophisticated than the Houthis’, though, so if it attacked desalination plants, the damage could be significant.

There is an irony here: Iran’s capital city of Tehran has a water shortage crisis so serious that in 2025 the government reportedly considered relocating the drought-stricken capital to the coast. But Iran is less vulnerable to attacks on desalination, because its water supply relies instead on dams and wells.

Whatever else the war may be about, water could well become a major factor in the violence and leave lasting political scars. And if either side were to intentionally attack water sources or desalination plants, it would clearly be a human-rights violation.

 Michael Christopher Low, Associate Professor of History; Director, Middle East Center, University of Utah, The Conversation