As the only pro-democracy national political party, the
Democrats have the awesome responsibility of selecting a 2028 presidential
ticket that can win the election convincingly, rescue the White House and
executive branch from the most noxious and destructive regime in history, and
forge a path to restore and bolster our democracy.
While a winning presidential ticket can certainly emerge
from a chaotic, poorly designed nominating process and, conversely, a losing
ticket can certainly emerge from a pristine nominating system, Democratic Party
members and those concerned about the fate of our nation must maximize chances
of winning by a non-contestable majority. Putting in place a coherent system of
governance that does not create its own headaches officially begins this week.
“Members of the Democratic National Committee’s rules and
bylaws committee are meeting at the Salamander Hotel on Thursday and Friday to
recommend which states should ‘receive waivers to hold early nominating
contests,’” The Hill reported. States that do not follow the calendar
will lose all delegates and face a stiff $270,000 fine.
Twelve states divided among four regions (East, West,
South, Midwest) are vying for 4-5 spots that would get the early position in
the weeks before Super Tuesday. Whatever the Rules and Bylaws Committee decides, its decision will
require approval by the full DNC in August.
Governors and U.S. senators whose names are already part of the 2028 buzz (Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker, Georgia Sen. Raphael Warnock), 2020 winners in the early state contenders, and favorite sons (e.g., Pete Buttigieg, who won Iowa in 2020 and now resides in Michigan) would certainly like their states in the mix.
However, for that very
reason, the likelihood that the DNC picks a state that favors one or more
obvious contenders reduces the likelihood that the state will get an early
position. States with diverse electorates — such as South and North Carolina,
Nevada, or New Mexico — that do not obviously favor one or more specific
contenders will certainly be favored to snag a spot in the pre-Super Tuesday lineup.
“As the DNC considers its presidential primary calendar,
it’s important that they build a calendar that allows the party and the
candidates to hear from a broad cross-section of Americans, because listening
to voters and understanding and responding to the issues that matter to them is
essential to victory,” Lavora Barnes, the former Democratic chair of Michigan,
told me. “This is why states with populations that look like all of America
should be prioritized.”
Democrats should also look beyond the specific early primary states chosen. Zero energy should be expended trying to dissuade various candidates not to run. Having the largest, most robust debate at the start makes it less likely any segment of the electorate will feel disenfranchised or ignored. Who cares if you think Kamala Harris will never win (Turn the page! She had her shot!) or that no one outside the legacy media pays attention to Rahm Emanuel.
Let them run; the voters will sort it out.
What is clear is that even if they were to weigh in, party elders (or
those purported to know what the electorate will want in 2 and a half years, or
crotchety moderates who incorrectly foresaw disaster if Zohran Mamdani ran for
office, or a sliver of the electorate that lives on Bluesky) carry no weight
with voters.
The staid format of debates, especially the trite podium line-up of a dozen or more candidates ready to chime in with canned responses, also does not serve voters well. Rather than promoting nasty soundbites or reducing candidates to playing pundit (What makes you think you can win?), Democrats would be smart to innovate with different formats, special topics, subgroups of candidates, and nontraditional moderators. (I would love to hear Heather Cox Richardson ask candidates about their vision of American democracy or Paul Krugman discuss economic inequality with candidates in a small roundtable setting).
Allowing billionaire or corporate-owned legacy media — which has enabled Trump and evidenced scant understanding of the existential threat to democracy we face — moderate debates is foolish in the extreme. “They forced Democrats [in 2020] to distinguish themselves from each other on questions that there’s no hope of actually being able to accomplish in the short term, like Medicare for all,” Michael Podhorzer, former AFL-CIO political director and progressive political analyst, told me. That just forced Democrats to “exaggerate their differences.”
Left to their own devices in 2027--2028,
those same media figures will almost certainly “want to create internecine
battles over issues of less relevance to most voters,” Podhorzer explained,
leaving some candidates racing to take sides with Republicans (to prove their
“moderate” bona fides) and leaving everyone aggrieved over issues of little
import. Democrats should pledge not to repeat that experience.
There are enough journalistic refugees from legacy media,
highly skilled independent media interviewers, and engaging think-tank gurus to
sideline the corporate media crowd, thereby giving candidates room to shine
while helping to rejigger the media landscape to benefit pro-democracy forces.
Finally, voters, activists, and engaged pundits really should drop the entire subject of “electability.” No one knows. Donald Trump has won twice, Zohran Mamdani was elected mayor of New York, and countless incumbents lost in primaries. Trying to game out in advance which candidates will match up well against a yet-to-be-determined Republican nominee on issues not remotely clear years in advance is entirely pointless.
It makes for lazy
punditry, but worse, it promotes an ‘if the other guy wins, we are doomed’ or
‘we cannot win unless my gal wins’ mentality, which is intellectually dishonest
and the last thing a big tent party charged with building a giant coalition
needs.
In sum, as the first stages of officially constructing the 2028 presidential primary process get underway this week, the stakes will be astronomically high for the DNC, party activists, candidates, and voters. However, by abiding by the political equivalent of the Hippocratic Oath (don’t make the primary system the province of a tiny number of overwhelmingly white states, don’t chase people out of the race, don’t let legacy media run the show, don’t fall into the “electability” trap), Democrats can avoid some of the pitfalls of past election cycles.
Above all, the greater pro-democracy
coalition must remember that — whenever the nominee is chosen — past grievances
must be put aside. Our democracy’s future depends upon it.
-Jennifer Rubin, The Contrarian is community-supported. Help fund bold
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