The
Democratic National Convention buoyed the Democrats. Thirty-four million dollars’
worth of donations came into ActBlue on the night of Vice President Kamala
Harris’s acceptance speech. That money added to the other donations pouring in
to make a record-breaking total of $540 million since July 22, when Harris’s
campaign launched.
Analyzing
voter registrations in Michigan, pollster Tom Bonier found an immediate
increase in young women registering to vote in the week of July 21, and his
models suggest a 20-point Democratic advantage among those new registrants.
FiveThirtyEight shows Harris up 2.7 points over Trump in the national polling
average, a six-point improvement from Biden’s last day as a candidate. Across
the country, the campaign has 400,000 volunteers.
Harris
and Minnesota governor Tim Walz will cross southern Georgia by bus next week to
build on the momentum of the convention, working with the 35,000 volunteers,
174 staffers, and 24 campaign offices across the state.
Trump
and the MAGA Republicans have not taken the Democrats’ momentum quietly. Trump
has been frantically posting.
On
Thursday morning he assured readers on his social media channel that “My
Administration will be great for women and their reproductive rights,” although
he has boasted about ending the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision that
protected women’s access to abortion and suggested that women who obtain
abortions should be punished. Maureen Dowd of the New York Times wrote
that his posts “were too ridiculous even for Trump,” and she wondered if his
account had been hacked by Iranians.
Then
Trump went to Montezuma Pass, Arizona, to praise a section of border wall
constructed there. A Border Patrol union leader called it the “Trump Wall,” and
Isaac Arnsdorf, Marianne LeVine and Erin Patrick O'Connor of the Washington
Post wrote that Trump’s visit was designed to recapture the storyline
of this presidential race from Harris. But it turned out that the section he
visited was actually built under President Barack Obama.
The
nearby Trump portion was unfinished and cost at least $35 million per mile. As
president, the reporters note, “Trump spent more than $11 billion to finish
more than 450 miles of wall along the almost 2,000-mile southern border, one of
the most expensive federal infrastructure projects in history.”
Harris’s
acceptance speech had Trump apparently beside himself. During her 38-minute
speech he posted 59 times on his social media platform, saying, among other
things, “WHERE’S HUNTER?” referring to President Joe Biden’s son. After
the speech ended, he called in to the Fox News Channel to rant, in what Dowd
called a “scream-of-consciousness,” in which he insisted he is “doing very well
in the polls,” until host Bret Baier cut him off. So he turned to right-wing
media outlet Newsmax, where he continued his diatribe.
That
night, apparently increasingly concerned about his chances of election,
Trump—or his team, because it didn’t really sound like him—reached out on
social media to Georgia governor Brian Kemp, whom he has lambasted since 2021
for refusing to help him steal the 2020 election. As recently as August 3,
Trump went after Kemp, but on Thursday he thanked the governor “for all of your
help and support in Georgia, where a win is so important to the success of our
Party and, most importantly, our Country. I look forward to working with you,
your team, and all of my friends in Georgia to help MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!”
Josh
Marshall of Talking Points Memo commented: “Nothing tells you
Trump is in full panic more than seeing him crawl back to nemesis Brian Kemp
begging for help in Georgia.” “Kemp wanted a public groveling,” Ron Filipkowski
wrote, “and that’s what Trump did tonight.”
It
wasn’t just Trump who was concerned about the Democratic National Convention. A
number of prominent Republicans who will be voting for Harris spoke there,
providing a permission structure for other Republicans to shift their support
to Harris and Walz. But that message did not make it through to viewers of the
Fox News Channel. Media Matters, which monitors right-wing media,
reported that the Fox News Channel did not air any of the Republicans’ DNC
speeches.
In
the Wall Street Journal, Peggy Noonan complained that Democrats
“stole traditional Republican themes (faith, patriotism) and claimed them as
their own”—as if somehow Democrats shouldn’t be able to claim either faith or
patriotism—and worried that Trump “is famously off his game.” His “old insult
shtick isn’t working,” and when he tries to read from a teleprompter, “he talks
like a tranquilized robot.” Because he has insulted everything, when he now
disparages something, she wrote, “it seems part of his act.”
Recognizing
the momentum of the Harris-Walz campaign, the Trump-Vance campaign on Saturday
sent out a memo predicting a post-convention bump for Harris-Walz but promising
the bump would be temporary. It also did not mention that Trump and Vance did
not get the normal post-convention bounce after their 2024 convention in
July.
Friday
brought more bad news for the Trump campaign when twelve Republican lawyers who
served in the administrations of presidents Ronald Reagan, George H.W. Bush,
and George W. Bush wrote an open letter endorsing Harris because they believe
Trump is a threat to American democracy and the rule of law. They continued:
"[W]e urge all patriotic Republicans, former Republicans, conservative and
center-right citizens, and independent voters to place love of country above
party and ideology and join us in supporting Kamala Harris."
They
join conservative jurist J. Michael Luttig, who endorsed Harris on Wednesday
and wrote: “In voting for Vice President Harris, I assume that her public
policy views are vastly different from my own, but I am indifferent in this
election on any issues other than America’s Democracy, the Constitution, and
the Rule of Law, as I believe all Americans should be.” […]
Finally,
in a post on his social media site tonight, Trump appears to be hinting that he
will pull out of the planned debate between him and Vice President Harris
scheduled for September 10. “I watched ABC FAKE NEWS this morning,” he wrote,
“and I ask, why would I do the Debate against Kamala Harris on that network?...
Stay tuned!!!” […]
—Heather
Cox Richardson
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