For months, MLB
and its players' union have engaged in a frustrating back-and-forth over
baseball's return. Negotiations reached a boiling point this week, and now the
2020 season — and perhaps even future seasons — are in serious jeopardy.
Why
it matters: The
talks between the two sides were never great, but they at least once had a
tinge of optimism. Now, a 50-game season — once considered a worst-case
scenario — appears to be the only hope for baseball this year.
The
latest:
- June 10: Commissioner
Rob Manfred tells ESPN's Karl Ravech that he's "100%" sure
there will be a season.
- June 13: The
MLBPA cuts off talks and requests that MLB tell them when and where to
show up, citing an agreed upon stipulation that the league would set a
schedule (believed to be ~50 games) should the two sides fail to agree on
one.
- June 15 (last night): Manfred reverses course, saying he's no longer confident that there will be a season due to players' decision to end negotiations. The MLBPA responds, saying "players are disgusted" by Manfred's backtracking.
Furthermore, the bad blood formed during this
process will have a profound impact on negotiations when the CBA expires after
the 2021 season, and could result in even more missed games due to a lockout or
player strike.
The
backdrop: The crux of
this debate centers on the players and owners both refusing to budge, making
the last 10 weeks less about negotiations and more about two sides yelling into
the void.
- What the
players want: Full
pro rata, meaning fully prorated salaries for however many games they play
(i.e. $1 million salary would be $500,000 if the season were cut exactly
in half).
- What the
owners want: To
minimize the collective losses incurred by playing a season without fans,
which they can't accomplish if players earn full pro rata. (Owners claim a
fanless season could result in $4 billion in losses,
but that number is impossible to confirm because they refuse to open their
books.)
What
we're hearing: The
owners want to play roughly 50 games. But if they implemented that now, the
MLBPA would file a bad faith grievance against them for not trying to play as
many games as possible, since they can still easily fit in 70+ games before the
Sept. 27 regular-season end date.
- So, the
owners are stalling. The closer they get to Sept. 27, the fewer games they
can play — bringing them closer to their goal of 50 games and eliminating
the players' legal case against them.
- Reds pitcher
Trevor Bauer agrees with
this theory and called out Manfred directly on Twitter: "No one
believes your bluff, bud."
The
bottom line: Over
the last six months, two MLB teams were punished for cheating, the league came
under fire for its plan to decimate the minor leagues, and now, "the
entity with the sole power to organize top-tier professional baseball in North
America seems to have no particular interest in fulfilling that
purpose," writes The Ringer's
Michael Baumann.
- Regardless
of what happens next, MLB has angered its players, alienated its existing
fans, hurt its chances of attracting new fans and incurred incalculable
long-term damage to its already deteriorating image. Good job, guys.
- Last
night, the AP reported that
several MLB players and staff have tested positive for COVID-19. You can
draw your own conclusions, but the timing would seem to indicate that MLB
leaked that information to benefit their own agenda.
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