Saturday, November 30, 2024

Get the Hell Out of My Way by Joseph Natoli

 


“You can! You must. When those few are the best. Deny the best its right to the top – and you have no best left. What are your masses but mud to be ground under foot, fuel to be burned for those who deserve it?”

– Ayn Rand, We the Living, 1936

John Galt, a multi-billionaire hero in Ayn Rand’s Atlas Shrugged, is on strike until the “masses of the mud” bend to the will of The Best and, government needs to get the hell out of the way of those few who are the best.

When it comes to spouting truly despicable horseshit – “selfishness is a virtue’ –Rand reeks. But she’s got followers in high places: “Rand’s controversial “objectivist” ideas have been invoked by generations of conservatives, from Reaganites to the Tea Party, and now Donald Trump.”

Right now, a multi-billionaire regime is being set up by electing just one man, and this done by popular vote, by those Rand would call masses of mud. You need only scan those President-Elect Donald Trump has given key governmental positions: Private Predators, on and offline, with an animus to laws and the bureaucracy that enforces them.

This subjugation of the many by the few comes as no surprise as such has always been part of “winning” in “The American Dream” as well as the force behind “American Exceptionalism.” Egalitarianism has always been the soft and fuzzy dream of useful idiots, in the eyes of the Winners. Do you think we might be deceived into thinking Donald Trump cares about the people he will “make great again”? In what ways is he, himself, great?

It seems clear that this country has made Ayn Rand’s dream come true. What “Make America Great Again” means is not picking up the thread again that might lead to an egalitarian democracy but being free to sow the whirlwind of anger, hatred, greed, vengeance and crushing domination. The “masses of the mud” need be ground under foot, says Ayn Rand whose “thought” was pre-“trickle down.” The neo-liberal supply side trickle-down economics cannot be so un-Beatitudes because Christians are a key bloc of the Republican Party.

Not that President-Elect Trump bends his will to either Ayn Rand or neo-liberal Reaganomics, or the will of Congress, of The Constitution, or trials by jury, or the Trump Bible he’s selling, or Reason. “Get the Hell Out of My Way” does capture the whole of his ideology.

He’s won a popular vote promising to pave with gold the road ahead for Rand’s “masses of the mud.” Contemporaneously, he wants to pave the road ahead for those who have won in the Capital competitive arena, protecting and expanding his own stake in the game. At what point will this contradiction become obvious to his MAGA supporters?

There’s clearly danger ahead in dismantling government services that obstruct The Best in their profit-making because such services benefit “the masses” who rely upon them. When you can afford private health care or are a shareholder/owner in this profiteering industry, cutting Medicare and Medicaid is not fearful but profitable for you. When your retirement pension is your dividend paying stock portfolio, Social Security is unimportant to you. The wealthy don’t pay FICA taxes beyond 168K, which, if they did, would keep SS solvent. There is no incentive here for The Best to do so.

The fastest track Trump could take to losing his MAGAs is here, and it seems likely that his newly appointed Department of Government Efficiency run by two multi-billionaires (The Best) will jump on this track.

When the thrill of “cleansing” and tearing down, of prosecuting the prosecutors (aka destroying trial by jury for instance) wears off and the Many realize that they are under plutocratic rule, the way back to a Constitutional democracy may already be forgotten, or the rule of Just Get Out of the Way may lead to a clash different than imagined before Trump’s victory. This is a rule that historically shows us that the multitude often doesn’t “get out of the way.” They storm a Bastille. Or, they get absorbed by The Borg, or a TV autocrat they love.

Few would doubt that right now we no longer have the best of what is in us, the better angels of our nature, willing to “get along with each other.” Not seen, but Lincoln hoped they existed. Perhaps this is so because both our political parties have openly supported, as is the case of Republicans, or cowardly acquiesced, as is the case of Democrats, to the belief that it is inevitable that the “artificial state” will rise, that human labor will be replaced and become extinct, that the Capital class, the multi-millionaires who pay homage to Trump, have always been the destiny of the country, that somehow deranged self-interest is in all our best interest, pace The Golden Rule of self and others. (See, Jill Lepore, “The Artificial State,” The New Yorker, Nov. 11, 2024)

At the bottom of all this remains the still fundamental struggle between Labor and Capital, between workers and owners, although the so-called party of the working class, the Democrats, have long ago ceased acknowledging this struggle.

However, Capital has not forgotten and remains furious over the New Deal, a time when the Democratic Party’s president, FDR mobilized a country and its mindset on the side of Labor in the Labor/Capital struggle. But as that Democratic party leaned away from struggle and leaned into the side of Capital, as if there was a “third way” in a knife fight in a phone booth, there’s not been much getting in the way of The Best. 

From that perspective, one regulation is too much, one NLRB vote on the side of labor is too much. Not to say that it’s been easy to put up a fight when money is speech and The Best have it now at obscene levels, and the discourse their money pays for drives deep into the zeitgeist.

How long does it take to sidle minds away from thoughts like egalitarianism, redistribution to achieve modest wealth equity, profit goals as not synonymous with democratic goals, progress not zero-sum at all, labor deserving a fair share of profits, the support of anti-autocratic discourse, practices and institutions, and Market Rule as not a political platform in a Constitutional democracy?

The two existential issues, the wealth gap and global warming, that should have been upfront in the recent election, were absent, in the same way Labor has been absent from the Democratic Party’s interests. Recuperation of this party does not lie in finding somehow who grabs media attention and can channel the passions: anger, hatred and a plan of revenge. Both Clinton and Obama channeled hope, not a passion but a promise of the future.

By the 2024 Presidential Election, it was clear to everyone, including the Democrats, that the promise was unfulfilled, and that anger had grown. The passion Democrats can rekindle is that of agon, of a fight, a struggle against being ground under the feet of The Best.

There is a history to this struggle that Democrats have walked away from.  Revisit the words and actions of key figures in labor history (from Chavez to Debbs and Reuther, Harry Bridges, Kshama Sawant, Mother Jones and Emma Tenayuka, Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, A.O.C., and Sherrod Brown) because these are the words and actions that will sustain a party tugging against plutocratic and autocratic power, the so-called Best.

It very well may be that the Democratic Party cannot make this transformation and a new party representing those Rand calls “masses of mud” is required. Either Democrats are too committed to the “artificial” state that they accept and won’t fight, or too long committed to matters that are marginal in the lives of 80% of the population, or both, the fact remains that neither the wealthy nor the majority are with them.

Think of the situation as a tug of war in which the tugging is back and forth, Capital is running from the New Deal and Labor is complacent, resting on past strike victories, not broad but self-serving, until Reagan slaps them aside and gets away with it in 1981. No longer playing defense, Capital rushes offense with Reagan’s supportive economics of the Best as the path to global power.

By the time Democrats regain the presidency with Bill Clinton, the switcheroo from material well-being made for all to increasing the prosperity of those at the top is established. Obama is so far removed from the Labor/Capital tug of war when he walks into the Great Recession that he, a Democrat, automatically wants Capital to clean up the mess Capital has created.

The winners of global competitiveness are already positioned at the top and everyone else is a welfare petitioner who should get a job. It’s suddenly the “reality” of the way things work, an inevitable movement of Capital. Bend to NAFTA without considering Labor. Globalized Capital is an untouchable future. This is a mythos that has caught hold. The newest spin of Capital is AI which is touted to transform the world although “the likely effect of AI will make an already broken political system even worse.” (Lessig, quoted in Lepore)

If you place alongside this 16 years of Democrat presidential residence, which moves the Labor needle not a centimeter, with Republicans, staying up at night reading Ayn Rand, and so pulling the Capital end of the rope, what you get is no struggle at all. 

A man with no historical sense, no interest in competing ideologies, and amused by the Constitutional foundations of the country walks into power because the lines of opposition to such had disappeared almost a half century before.

The omissions of the Democratic Party were there for all to see for a half century. This Party makes its own switcheroo by building platforms for whoever and whatever is on the marginal fringes while at the same time pushing out of sight that percentage of wage earners who are not invested, are not dividend recipients and are clearly not owners, regardless of the “independent contractor” flimflam.

And they are not in any marginalized grouping struggling for identity. They are not subaltern. They are what Hillary called your “Everyday Americans.” How many are thought to be pushed out of sight? Enough to win the popular vote for Trump.

Meanwhile, back in the mud of the masses, things ain’t going so well. Why? Sit down for an all-night Monopoly game to find your answer. It’s an economics that will leave one guy with all the paper money and all the property, old money and newly gentrified. 

In the second quarter of 2024, the bottom 50% of Americans held 2.5% of the total wealth. The wealth gap before the French Revolution was not nearly as bad as what it is in the U.S. today. Masses in the mud stormed the Bastille. Liberty, Equality, Fraternity, Reign of Terror, Napoleon. 

We’ve done no revolution. Why? Our Napoleon, or more precisely the guy in the asylum who thinks he’s Napoleon, has stepped in as the answer to all those masses in the mud. Think of it as Trump grabbing the dropped end of the rope and now pulling for those masses in the mud. But he’s not. He’s pulling for himself.

Now, Trump doesn’t have the erudition to fill any kind of important position but like a carny spiel man, he doesn’t have a knowledge base to pull a crowd into a tent. He established himself as a powerful man in TV world. That spin and spectacle leached into real political life. So established, he doesn’t have to prove he knows anything. He need only assert. He’s the smartest epidemiologist around. Listen to his advice and not Dr. Fauci. He’s savvier than Putin, former head of the KGB. He knows that global warming is just changeable weather, and human actions don’t affect the weather. NATO is what weak countries, not the U.S. needs. And so on. How much a threat is power in the hands of someone like this?

He’s enchanted enough voters to win the popular vote. He’s a cult master, whether the enchanted are drinking the Kool Aid or waiting for comet transport, his raw selfishness in some kind of symbiosis with center stage exuberant deranged charisma has pre-empted blood in the streets twice. If Trump had not appeared, The Best would have pushed the mud masses closer to bloody revolution, and the Democratic Party would have been busy with bathroom legislation.

If Trump had not won the 2024 Presidential election, his Jim Jones disciples would have bloodied the streets in his name. Because the so-called defenders of the mud masses, the Democratic Party, had lost the respect of the MAGAs, their power to calm violence is nil. Positioning yourself on the side of “basic rights” for the marginalized when the “masses of mud” are screaming about the price of bread, is and has been poor political positioning by a political party. “Basic Rights,” which didn’t seem to show up from 1787 to 1868, seem afterward to be capriciously and arbitrarily basic, given the fact that humans are fractious when it comes to who the Celestial Disseminator of Basic Rights might me.

On one hand, visions of greatness in the past are visionary, but on the other hand we see in the past one wage earner per household on a union won salary and retirement pension and health benefits. Ironically, Trump’s promise to renew the greatness of the past has nothing to do with Labor but all to do with widening the distance between the finances of Labor and those of Capital. Whatever financial security existed in the past he will work to destroy, not serving Ayn Rand’s crackpot “philosophy” but his own brand of self-serving derangement. He also has no interest in awakening the past to its blindness to those not inside the white male centrism club.

So, if Trump can only make the financial lives of the masses in the mud worse and also not nurture humanitarian impulses, his own life it seems devoid of any humanity, what is it that works here in the Trump/Labor bond?

From the side of Capital, he’s the Judas goat that leads the laboring classes to vote for Capital. He offers a prominence he has in his own success achieved for them. He can save them by returning the past to them. Workers paid a share of profits, workers receiving secure wages in secure positions had been since the so-called Information Age, scheduled for extinction. There has been no political party defending them from this. But Trump has given Labor a renewed sense of importance simply by recognizing that workers exist. That’s what he’s doing at his rallies.

The Best cannot fathom what is going on at Trump’s rallies because he is engaged with those who, The Best, of wealth and meritocracy, have erased from their lives. One touted perk of being wealthy is to be able to live away from those who are not wealthy. Hillary admitted to having lost touch with all those working-class people who clearly saw she didn’t see them. But Trump sees them. He’s a user and abuser but on the very important level of recognition, however he manages this, he makes them feel that he sees them.

In a Plutarchic order, wage earners fade while dividend recipients claim ownership of the country. The new Vanishing Americans: the wage earners. AI and robotics may totally extinguish that part of us that seeks recognition and so, in that Brave New World fashion, lobotomize our need to be seen as who we are.

Amendments: Regarding Joe Biden and Donald Trump

Biden did more to move the needle toward Labor than any president since, perhaps LBJ but certainly FDR. Making those moves in a world already owned by The Best, the owners and not the wage earners, were legislative moves that were surely going to meet with all the opposition money could buy. Could the Biden regime have done more to publicize the boldness of what he was doing? I believe even the best effort wouldn’t have caught on. Half the country is too far removed from valuing what he did, and the other half knows what he was about and pulled out all the plugs to stop him.

Also, there was no Biden regime. Still far too many leaning into Capital, afraid of ringing an anti-Capital note. The Party sabotaged its own anti-Capitalists (I have Bernie in mind) and their ignoring labor did not assist Sherrod Brown, surely the one Biden should have endorsed for the presidency back in 2021.

Donald J. Trump does not have a regime of power, regardless of how many subjects who will declare fealty. So far, Trump’s nominees should be in jail not in Washington. His is not a structured derangement. If Mao had the sort of misfit posse Trump is gathering, his Cultural Revolution wouldn’t have gotten off the ground. Ditto Stalin who could efficiently round up hordes and deport them to Siberia. Trump’s immigration roundup will go up to the moment “the Border Czar” tactics, seemingly a roughneck promising roughneck tactics, make headlines.

Trump doesn’t measure up as the sort of autocrat/dictator to get anything done beyond some tirades on Truth Social. His minions, if they survive review, have all the qualifications needed for immediate disaster in whatever post they’ve been given. And if investigative reporters “follow the money” thy will surely be led to Trump misappropriations.

None of that will escape exposure. Claud Cockburn, the father of Alexander Cockburn, a co-founder of CounterPunch, believed that most effective “is to tell truth to the powerless so they have a fighting chance in any struggle against the big battalions.” (Patrick Cockburn, Believe Nothing Until It is Officially Denied: Claud Cockburn and the Invention of Guerrilla Journalism, Verso.) Journalism, Jill Lepore writes in The NewYorker, “is as eager as it ever was to perform its essential accountability function, but it is also impaired by financial struggle, declining trust, and disruptive new technologies.” 

I would add that the finances of Capital are being deployed now more than ever to subvert investigative journalism as well as its witnessing of the facts. Certainly, this is because Trump is so vulnerable in every direction to exposure.

Neither the Republican Party, which has signed its soul over to Trump, nor Capital which needs to see the laboring, wage earner class in Trump’s pocket, which this election has shown is where it has chosen to be, wants Trump taken down, as Nixon was, by the Press. Surely, the lesson Trump has learned from Nixon was two-fold: don’t get caught and take down the Press before it takes you down.

It’s late in the game of Labor vs. Capital with Capital owning the field, but it’s also too late for Trump & Friends to shut down the Press, online and offline. There is absolutely no legacy that can emerge from this Commedia dell’arte. J.D. Vance will at some point turn on Trump to save himself. However, Musk will be the first to rocket off followed by other multi-millionaires who will fade as Trump fades. Ayn Rand, and her disciple Margaret Thatcher, didn’t believe society existed, only the individual. Well, you don’t create an ongoing regime from a beginning like that.

In an unrelenting storm of rants, idiotic conspiracies and personal threats and attacks the new technologies have managed to obscure those facts revealed by investigative journalism. This is a foul and degenerate use of cyberspace, once billed as a democratizing venue, a liberation of every citizen’s voice, voices that we now see were best left screaming in basements.

Given this state of chaos, it is more than strange than so many voices enamored of hearing themselves have heeded Trump’s voice, rabid in echoing and hurrahing his deranged “weave,” a one-man destruction of language and meaning. 

In a politics celebrity driven and wealth worshipping within a culture that has 188 major Protestant denominations and untold evangelical and Pentecostal and Holiness, plus Judaic and Catholic no moral sense seems to exist. From a solely Judaic-Christian moral view, Trump should not get a vote of support. But given the charade of a moral mission in the U. S., Trump should have been expected decades ago.

The key question at this point is how will Capital save or salvage the Trump regime? At what point will he be abandoned by the globalist Capitalists who long ago gave up American labor for cheap labor wherever it can be found? And it could be found. 

At what point would Trump’s destruction of international defenses against wealth redistribution nation states, against those who see U.S. “free enterprise” as predatory, as no more than exploitation and imperialism that power practices as it hides behind its democratic and humanitarian front, compel Capital to do what Labor cannot do: defeat him.

Joseph Phillip Natoli’s The New Utrecht Avenue novel trilogy is on sale at Amazon. Time is the Fire ended what began with Get Ready to Run and Between Dog & Wolf. Humor noire with counterpunches. 

-CounterPunch

https://www.counterpunch.org/2024/11/29/get-the-hell-out-of-my-way/


Wednesday, November 27, 2024

Putin's Lowering of the threshold for a nuclear response

 


With conflicts all over the world showing no sign of coming to an end any time soon, there is much talk of nuclear war on the international stage.

A nuclear explosion and its radiation, heat and blast effects would result in devastating, widespread death quickly—but it would also have massive impacts on the food supply, given the changes it would cause to the atmosphere, surface, oceans and ability to trade internationally.

Some 6.7 billion people would die of starvation, according to a model previously studied by Nature Food, a journal for research about food production. Countries that would see no population loss include Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, Paraguay, Costa Rica, Panama, Haiti, Australia, Iceland and Oman, according to the study. This is opposed to parts of the world that would experience death because of starvation which include the U.S., Canada, most of Europe and Russia.

There are some nations that would not suffer from starvation but would see calorie intake reducing to such a point that it "would cause people to lose weight, and only sedentary physical activity would be supported." This scenario, theoretically looking at the second year of nuclear war, is based on a "partial livestock case," in which 50 percent of livestock grain would be used for human food and the other 50 percent to feed and raise surviving livestock.

For comparison, the other scenarios are the "livestock case," in which livestock production is continued, and the "no livestock case," in which all livestock is killed in year one and 50 percent of livestock grain is used for human consumption.

All three scenarios, which used population and average calorie intake status figures from 2010, assumed no international trade. In the "partial livestock case," 312.2 million people in the U.S. would die from starvation—that is, 98 percent of the population. Newsweek has contacted the U.S. Department of Defense for comment.

Last year, a study published in the journal Physics of Fluids calculated where in a building might be safest to shelter in the case of a nuclear bomb being detonated nearby. Assuming that the building is not inside the initial fireball of the blast, in which everything and everyone would be vaporized, the main danger other than radiation is the massive blast wave that comes after the explosion. The study found that the best place to shelter is in a sturdy building at the far end of the room from any door or window, and ideally in a corner.

The study authors, from the University of Nicosia in Cyprus, used advanced computer modeling to investigate how a 750-kiloton—around three times as powerful as Nagasaki's "Fat Man" in Japan in 1945—nuclear blast wave and the high-speed winds that follow would move through a building, and how strong the forces are throughout a room.

The study comes as former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, an ally of Vladimir Putin, has said Russia's newly battle-tested missile is impervious to Western air defenses and can reach European capitals within minutes.

"Europe is wondering what damage the system can cause if the heads are nuclear, whether it is possible to shoot down these missiles and how quickly the missiles will reach the capitals of the Old World," Medvedev posted to Telegram on Sunday. "The answer: the damage is unacceptable; it is impossible to shoot down with modern means, and we are talking about minutes."

Earlier this month, Putin approved changes to Russia's nuclear doctrine, which included lowering the threshold for a nuclear response. Russia had previously warned of a nuclear response if "the very existence of the state is threatened" although many have argued over what this meant. The revised guidelines now refer to "a critical threat" to "sovereignty" as well as the "territorial integrity" of Russia and Belarus.

Paragraph 10 says that Russia will perceive the aggression of any state from a bloc or alliance as an aggression of this coalition "as a whole." The 11th paragraph says aggression against Russia "and/or its allies by any non-nuclear state with the participation or support of a nuclear state shall be considered as a joint attack."

Newsweek has broken down four significant changes to Russia's nuclear doctrine here.

Fears over the escalation of Putin's war in Ukraine have intensified over the last few weeks, especially after President Joe Biden decided to allow Ukraine to use U.S.-made, long-range missiles to strike targets in Russia.

After this, Ukraine used long-range ATACMS missiles against a target inside Russia for the first time last week. This all followed Moscow's deployment of North Korean troops to the front lines in the Kursk region, an action described by the Biden administration as a significant escalation of the conflict.

-Jordan King and John Feng for Newsweek

 

Tuesday, November 26, 2024

"The most important thing is this: Donald Trump is not innocent" -Joyce Vance

 


Often, when prosecutors dismiss criminal cases that have been indicted, it’s because they’ve learned a defendant is actually innocent or at least discovered they do not have sufficient evidence to prove guilt. That is not the case here. Special Counsel Jack Smith wrote that his view of the merits of his case—in other words, his ability to obtain and sustain convictions against Donald Trump, has not changed.

Trump outran the justice system by winning the election. It is DOJ policy, not a lack of evidence, that compelled Smith to move to dismiss the cases. That is no small thing. Trump won’t face juries in these cases. But that does not mean Trump can claim he has been exonerated. He has not been. Full stop.

Smith will write a report and it’s extremely likely it will be public. How fulsome it will be and what it reveals remains to be seen. The question is whether it will make a difference in some meaningful way in the future.

I continue to think it will. We have lived through one of the most difficult months our democracy has endured. But our democracy has endured. We don’t get to quit just because it isn’t easy. Sometimes, you give it your all and it still doesn’t go your way. But if you believe the Constitution and the rule of law mean something, mean a better way of life for us and our children—and I do—then you can’t just give up and walk away. You have to keep going.

So even as I’m getting ready to spend the rest of the week with friends and family, I’m thinking about what we are going to do, how we are going to be prepared to do the big things and the small things necessary to prevent Donald Trump from controlling our futures. We will have work to do.

Trump has threatened to fire and prosecute investigators and prosecutors who followed the law, took their evidence to a grand jury, obtained indictments, and proceeded against him, while providing him with every measure of due process. His Attorney General nominee Pam Bondi said in August of 2023 that when Trump returned to office, “the prosecutors will be prosecuted — the bad ones — the investigators will be investigated.”

That’s unconscionable for a person who aspires to be the country’s top law enforcement officer. Bondi, unless she changes her tune, and that seems unlikely since she Donald Trump’s pick, is pre-committed to using the Justice Department as a political tool to please a president.

But that’s easier said than done. Former FBI acting Director Andrew McCabe won his lawsuit against the Trump Administration after he was wrongfully fired. And it’s easy to see how efforts like this could backfire.

If Trump’s DOJ goes after Smith’s team, claiming their prosecutions were political, the ensuing litigation would almost certainly reveal the full scope of the Special Counsel’s office investigation and the evidence that was compiled against Donald Trump and others.

Defending themselves against claims their prosecution wasn’t legitimate would necessarily call for a full account of the investigation and the basis for prosecutors’ decision to indict. Trump should remember that old adage: Be careful what you ask for.

There is much more to come. I’m not giving up, and I hope you won’t either. We’re in this together,

-Joyce Vance

 

Monday, November 25, 2024

No one is above the law except Trump

 


Special counsel Jack Smith sought permission from U.S. courts to abandon the two federal cases against President-elect Donald Trump, likely putting an end to two lengthy and historic investigations. Smith asked U.S. District Judge Tanya S. Chutkan to dismiss the election interference charges brought in D.C., saying he “stands fully behind” the allegations but acknowledges Justice Department guidelines prohibit prosecuting a sitting president. An hour later, Smith filed a separate motion in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 11th Circuit, asking to drop Trump as a co-defendant from the special counsel’s appeal of a ruling in the classified-documents case. U.S. District Judge Aileen M. Cannon dismissed that indictment this summer, breaking with legal precedent to agree with Trump’s lawyers that Smith was unlawfully appointed…

-Washington Post

In his 3rd annual address to Congress in 1903, Theodore Roosevelt said: "No man is above the law and no man is below it; nor do we ask any man's permission when we require him to obey it.”

The Rule of Law is a principle under which all persons, institutions, and entities are accountable to laws that are publicly promulgated and equally enforced.


Saturday, November 23, 2024

Threat of world war is "serious and real" Poland says as Putin steps up threats against West

 


The war in Ukraine is entering a “decisive phase”, with Vladimir Putin ’s launch of a new ballistic missile showing that the threat of global conflict is “serious and real”, Poland’s prime minister has said.

Donald Tusk’s warning came as Nato and Ukrainian officials convened emergency talks over the hypersonic ballistic missile strike against Dnipro.

Putin said its launch was in response to Ukraine using British and American long-range missiles on targets in Russia – and issued a stark threat that Moscow “had the right” to strike any Western nation that provided Kyiv with such weapons. And he vowed to continue using the new missile “in combat conditions” – a threat to both Ukraine and the West.

Mr. Tusk made clear the danger in Ukraine, which shares a border with Poland: “The war in the east is entering a decisive phase; we feel that the unknown is approaching. The conflict is taking on dramatic proportions. The last few dozen hours have shown that the threat is serious and real when it comes to global conflict.”

Ukraine’s president Volodymyr Zelensky said the world needs to mount a “serious response” to Putin’s firing of the missile, to show that there are “real consequences”. He added that his defence ministry was already working with allies and partners to develop air defences to protect against the “new risks” his country is facing.

A session of Ukraine’s parliament was cancelled on Friday as security was tightened following the strike on Dnipro.

This week Ukraine has used UK-made Storm Shadow missiles and US-made army tactical missile systems (ATACMS) to strike targets inside Russia, after months of pleading by Mr. Zelensky for permission to use the missiles, whose range is between 150 and 190 miles.

Russia has stepped up its threats to the West in response. On Tuesday, the 1,000th day of his invasion of Ukraine, Putin signed a revised nuclear doctrine declaring that a conventional attack on Russia by any nation that is supported by a nuclear power will be considered a joint attack on his country.

US military officials said the Russian missile’s design was based on the design of Russia’s longer-range RS-26 Rubezh intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM). The new missile was experimental and Russia is likely to possess only a handful of them, officials said.

The Pentagon said the missile was fired with a conventional warhead but added that Moscow could modify it if it wanted to. “It could be refitted to certainly carry different types of conventional or nuclear warheads,” said Pentagon spokesperson Sabrina Singh.

Having initially identified the missile as an ICBM, Kyiv’s top spy agency said it flew for 15 minutes and reached a maximum speed of beyond Mach 11, or 11 times the speed of sound.

“The flight time of this Russian missile from the moment of its launch in the Astrakhan region to its impact in the city of Dnipro was 15 minutes,” the Main Directorate of Intelligence (HUR) said in a statement.

“The missile was equipped with six warheads, each equipped with six submunitions. The speed at the final part of the trajectory was over Mach 11.”

The HUR added that the weapon was probably from the Kedr missile complex, which is a Russian ballistic missile program.

Putin said on Friday that Russia would keep testing the hypersonic Oreshnik missile in the field and begin serial production of the new system. He claimed it was incapable of being intercepted by an enemy.

Hungarian prime minister Viktor Orban, one of the Kremlin’s closest allies in Europe, cautioned against underestimating Russia’s responses, saying the modifications to its nuclear deployment doctrine should not be dismissed as a “bluff”.

“It’s not a trick – there will be consequences,” he said.

Czech foreign minister Jan Lipavski called the Russian missile strike an “escalatory step and an attempt [by] the Russian dictator to scare the population of Ukraine and to scare the population of Europe”.

Britain’s defence minister Maria Eagle said the UK would stand firm with Ukraine and its European allies. “We’ve heard this kind of irresponsible rhetoric from [Putin] before,” she said. “We can’t allow ourselves to be put off from supporting Ukraine, and we won’t be.”

Failing to stand up to Russian aggression would come at a “serious cost” to Europe, she added.

Sir Keir Starmer was asked on Friday if Britain was at war.

“No, we’re not at war, but Ukraine certainly is, because Ukraine has been invaded by Russia, and that war has now been going on for just over 1,000 days,” he said.

“That’s 1,000 days of aggression from Russia and 1,000 days of sacrifice for Ukraine, and that is why we’ve said consistently that we stand by Ukraine,” he added. “We cannot allow Putin to win this war.”

-Chris Stevenson, The Independent


The Morbidly Rich

 


The Morbidly Rich are $276 billion richer just in the two weeks since November 5th, so, of course, Republicans want to give them trillions more in tax cuts. A new report from Americans for Tax Fairness (ATF) details how the most obscenely rich among us have gotten massively richer in just the past few weeks.

And the GOP’s pick of Senator John Thune to lead that body next year means trillions more, as he’s one of the Senate’s biggest advocates of ending or cutting Teddy Roosevelt’s proudest achievement, the estate tax.

Elon Musk, all by himself, accounts for $57 billion in additional wealth so far this month; America’s 815 billionaires now control a massive $6.7 trillion in wealth. Noting that, “Total billionaire wealth has surged by $3.8 trillion — or 131% — just since the enactment of the Trump-GOP tax law seven years ago,” the tax fairness group added: “Instead of addressing the nation’s growing economic inequality and the growing shortfall in federal revenue, President Trump and congressional Republicans plan to make the situation even worse by enacting a new tax cut package that gives billionaires tax breaks on the backs of working people.

This Republican tax plan will start with extending all the expiring provisions in the 2017 Trump law—which alone will balloon the federal debt by $5 trillion over the next decade—but will likely include new handouts to the very wealthy, such as elimination of the estate tax.” Senator Elizabeth Warren is having none of it, pointing out that Republicans have declared war on working class people and she, for one, intends to fight back.

During a Senate hearing this past Wednesday, she said: “The tax fight is starting now, and every person in the United States, every person in the Senate, needs to show the American people what side we stand on. Will we sign our names to more giveaways to President-elect Trump’s billionaire buddies, or will we fight for tax fairness for the American people?” Get out the popcorn; this is going to get interesting.

-Thom Hartmann


Friday, November 22, 2024

Trump's Picks

Today, former Florida representative Matt Gaetz withdrew his name from consideration for the office of attorney general. He did so shortly after CNN told him that they were going to report that the House Ethics Committee had been told there were witnesses to yet another sexual encounter between Gaetz and a minor in 2017.

There was already evidence that he had sent more than $10,000 to two women who later testified in sexual misconduct investigations. The notes explaining the payments said things like: “Love you,” “Being my friend,” “Being awesome,’ and “flight + extra 4 u.” 

Trump transition spokesperson Alex Pfeiffer told Will Steakin of ABC News that discussions of Gaetz’s payments “are meant to undermine the mandate from the people to reform the Justice Department.” 

Gaetz’s withdrawal turns attention to Trump’s pick for secretary of defense, Pete Hegseth. As host of the weekend edition of Fox & Friends, Hegseth has no relevant experience to run a crucial United States government department, let alone one that oversees close to 3 million personnel and a budget of more than $800 billion. 

According to Heath Druzin of the Idaho Capital Sun, Hegseth has close ties to an Idaho Christian nationalist church that wants to turn the United States into a theocracy. Jonathan Chait of The Atlantic did a deep dive into Hegseth’s recent books and concluded that Hegseth “considers himself to be at war with basically everybody to Trump’s left, and it is by no means clear that he means war metaphorically.”

Hegseth’s books suggest he thinks that everything that does not support the MAGA worldview is “Marxist,” including voters choosing Democrats at the voting booth. He calls for the “categorical defeat of the Left” and says that without its “utter annihilation,” “America cannot, and will not, survive.” 

Like Gaetz, Hegseth is facing stories about sexual assault. Yesterday, officials in Monterey, California, released a police report detailing a 2017 sexual assault complaint against Hegseth. The report recounts chilling details of a drunk Hegseth blocking a California woman from leaving a hotel room and then sexually assaulting her. A nurse reported the alleged assault after the woman underwent a rape exam. Hegseth says the encounter was consensual, but he paid the woman a settlement in exchange for a nondisclosure agreement. He was never charged.

Trump’s pick for secretary of education, Linda McMahon, is also short on experience in the field of the department she has been tapped to oversee. She once incorrectly claimed to have a bachelor’s degree in education when she was trying to get a seat on the Connecticut Board of Education and is known primarily for her work building World Wrestling Entertainment.

And she, too, has been entangled in a sex abuse scandal. In October, five men filed a lawsuit claiming that she and her husband, Vince McMahon, were aware that former ringside announcer Melvin Phillips was assaulting “ring boys” who were as young as 13.

A spokesperson for the Trump transition said of McMahon’s misrepresented credentials: “These types of politically motivated attacks are the new normal for nominees ready to enact President Trump’s mandate for common sense that an overwhelming majority of Americans supported two weeks ago.”

But Trump’s pick for director of national intelligence makes McMahon look like a prize. As military scholar Tom Nichols points out in The Atlantic, former representative Tulsi Gabbard is “stunningly unqualified” to oversee all of America’s intelligence services, including the Central Intelligence Agency. Nichols notes that her constant parroting of Russian talking points and her cozying up to Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad make her “a walking Christmas tree of warning lights” for our national security.  

Former Republican governor of South Carolina Nikki Haley suggested that Gabbard is “a Russian, Iranian, Syrian, Chinese sympathizer” who has no place at the head of American intelligence. A Russian state media presenter refers to Gabbard as “our girlfriend” and as a Russian agent.

And then there is Trump’s tapping of Robert Kennedy Jr. to head the Department of Health and Human Services. Kennedy has no training in medicine or public health and, in addition to being a prominent critic of the vaccines that have dramatically curtailed disease and death in the U.S., is an outspoken critic of the Food and Drug Administration, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and the National Institutes of Health.

There are a number of ways to think about Trump’s appointments. The people he has picked have so little experience in the fields their departments handle that Erin Burnett of CNN suggested that he is simply choosing them from “central casting”—a favorite phrase of his—to look as he imagines such officials should.

Indeed, as Zachary B. Wolf of CNN pointed out, while President Joe Biden vowed to make his Cabinet look like America, Trump’s picks look “exactly like Fox News.” Trump has actually tapped a number of television hosts for different positions. That so many of his appointees have histories of sexual misconduct is also striking, and underlines both that they share his determination to dominate others and that they do not think rules and laws apply to them. 

But there is another pattern at work, as well. In a piece he published on November 15 in his “Thinking about…” newsletter, scholar of authoritarianism Timothy Snyder explained that destroying a country requires undermining five key zones: “health, law, administration, defense, and intelligence.”  The nominations of Kennedy, Gaetz, Hegseth, and Gabbard, as well as the tapping of billionaires Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy to run the so-called Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE, to destroy the administration of the government, are, according to Snyder, a “decapitation strike.” 

“Imagine that you are a foreign leader who wishes to destroy the United States,” Snyder writes. “How could you do so? The easiest way would be to get Americans to do the work themselves, to somehow induce Americans to undo their own health, law, administration, defense, and intelligence.

From this perspective,” he explains, “Trump's proposed appointments—Kennedy, Jr.; Gaetz; Musk; Ramaswamy; Hegseth; Gabbard—are perfect instruments.  They combine narcissism, incompetence, corruption, sexual incontinence, personal vulnerability, dangerous convictions, and foreign influence as no group before them has done.”

But that destruction of the United States is so far still aspirational. The constant references to Trump’s supposed “mandate” are misleading. He did not win 50% of the vote, meaning that more voters chose someone other than Trump in the 2024 election than voted for him, and even many of his voters appear to have misunderstood his policies. 

According to Jonathan Karl of ABC News, Trump’s loyalists have tried to shore up support for his nominees in the Senate by threatening the Republican senators: "If you are on the wrong side of the vote, you’re buying yourself a primary. That is all. And there’s a guy named Elon Musk who is going to finance it.” 

That threat is a direct assault on the Constitution, which gives to the Senate the power to advise the president on senior appointments and requires their consent to a president’s choices, and one that also hands the U.S. government over to an international billionaire. Forcing a leader’s political party to get into line behind that leader is the first task of an authoritarian, who needs that unified support in order to attack political opponents. 

But, so far, the threat hasn’t worked: it could not save Gaetz in the face of public outcry.  Almost as soon as Gaetz withdrew his name, Trump presented former Florida attorney general Pam Bondi as his replacement for the attorney general post. In March 2016, Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington (CREW) found that the Trump Foundation illegally donated $25,000 to support Bondi at a time when she was considering joining a lawsuit against Trump University. Her office ultimately decided not to join the lawsuit. 

Bondi defended Trump in his first impeachment trial, during which she was a frequent guest on the Fox News Channel. She supported Trump’s campaign to insist—falsely—that he won the 2020 presidential election. She is also a registered lobbyist for Qatar. 

Meanwhile, Republican perceptions of the economy have changed abruptly. As Philip Bump of the Washington Post notes, since Trump’s election, there’s been a 16-point drop in the percentage of Republicans who say they were doing worse a year ago than they are now. 

While that change is due to Trump’s election, in fact Biden’s policies continue to deliver. White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre told reporters today that for the second year in a row, the average price of a Thanksgiving dinner has fallen.

According to the American Farm Bureau, that price fell 5% this year, with the cost of turkey down 6%. Gasoline to travel for the holiday is also down to its lowest point in more than three years, by about 25 cents per gallon since this time last year, falling to below $3.00 a gallon in almost 30 states. 

Tonight, Josh Marshall of Talking Points Memo suggested that Americans should keep scorecards of the country’s economic numbers, “charting where inflation, unemployment and GDP were at the end of Biden’s term and regularly updating it with Trump’s latest numbers.”

He noted that “the country is now covered with embryonic factories, businesses, economic redevelopment projects and more courtesy of Joe Biden’s CHIPS act and the Inflation Reduction Act,” and predicted that Trump will claim credit for all Biden accomplished. 

Keeping track would help preserve those projects in the face of threatened Republican cuts and at the same time prevent Trump from being able to claim more credit for his administration than it has earned. 

—Heather Cox Richardson

Notes:

https://abcnews.go.com/US/gaetz-10k-venmo-payments-2-women-testified-house/story?id=116019367

https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/21/politics/pete-hegseth-police-report-defense-secretary-trump/index.html

https://talkingpointsmemo.com/morning-memo/new-details-released-on-sexual-assault-allegation-against-hegseth

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/11/20/mcmahon-trump-education-degree/

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/linda-mcmahon-wwe-child-sex-abuse-lawsuit/?ftag=CNM-00-10aab7e&linkId=663522502

https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2024/11/tulsi-gabbard-nomination-security/680649/

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2024/11/pete-hegseth-books-trump/680744/

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/14/us/politics/rfk-jr-trump-hhs.html

Thinking about...

Decapitation Strike

Each of Trump's proposed appointments is a surprise. It is comforting to think that he is simply a vengeful old man, lashing out this way and that. This is unlikely. He and Musk and Putin have been talking for years. And the whole idea of his campaign was that this time he had a plan…

Read more

7 days ago · 3230 likes · 285 comments · Timothy Snyder

https://apnews.com/article/gaetz-trump-fbi-justice-department-248b46ba0c882dd46d661568e8bd3bd7

https://www.citizensforethics.org/reports-investigations/crew-investigations/the-trump-foundation-pam-bondi-scandal/

https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/21/politics/matt-gaetz-second-sexual-encounter-minor/index.html

https://idahocapitalsun.com/2024/11/21/trumps-defense-secretary-nominee-has-close-ties-to-idaho-christian-nationalists/

https://www.tampabay.com/opinion/editorials/feds-should-investigate-bondis-office/2292799/

https://www.tampabay.com/news/florida-politics/2020/11/05/pam-bondi-throws-herself-into-trump-effort-to-stop-counting-votes/

https://www.mediamatters.org/trump-impeachment-inquiry/trumps-new-impeachment-defense-team-has-been-fox-news-over-350-times-past

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/11/21/trump-biden-economy-republicans/

https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/press-briefings/2024/11/21/press-briefing-by-press-secretary-karine-jean-pierre-74/

https://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/my-kingdom-for-some-scorecards

https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/20/politics/donald-trump-cabinet-fox-what-matters/index.html

https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/19/business/video/dr-oz-trump-pick-central-casting-burnett-monologue-ebof-digvid

X:

PaulaReidCNN/status/1859651549993238811 

jimsciutto/status/1859363809087062232

briantylercohen/status/1859386752068382755

selinawangtv/status/1859618743506096482

jonkarl/status/1859368608142434417

kenvogel/status/1859779389799661890

JuliaDavisNews/status/1509330152735584262

 


Thursday, November 21, 2024

Hachiko

 


The last photo of Hachiko, the faithful dog who waited for more than nine years in front of Shibuya station for his master to return. This photo is the result of a story of devotion and loyalty that moved the world.

Hachiko became famous for patiently waiting for his master, Professor Hidesaburo Ueno, in front of Shibuya Station in Tokyo every day, even after his death in 1925. For nearly a decade, Hachiko returned to the same spot every day by day, waiting for his friend. Hachiko's story has inspired books, films and monuments around the world, becoming a symbol of unwavering loyalty and unconditional love.

This final photo captures the serenity and dignity of a dog who never lost hope, even in the final moments of his life. Today, Hachiko's bronze statue in front of Shibuya Station is an iconic meeting point and a lasting reminder of the strong bond between human being and a dog!  Hachiko died on March 8, 1935 at the age of 11. 


Hollywood's Film Version of a Dog's Tale:


Richard Gere’s bond with the loyal dog Hachiko is one of the most touching stories to emerge from Hollywood, one that transcends the screen and resonates deeply with people around the world. Their story became widely known through the 2009 film *Hachi: A Dog’s Tale*, where Gere played a college professor who forms an unbreakable bond with an Akita dog named Hachiko. What makes this story viral worthy isn’t just the on-screen portrayal but the real-life inspiration behind it, as well as the profound impact it had on Gere and audiences alike.

The film is based on the true story of Hachiko, a dog in 1920s Japan who became famous for his unwavering loyalty to his owner. Every day, Hachiko would wait at the Shibuya train station for his owner to return from work. Even after his owner’s sudden death, Hachiko continued to wait at the station every day for nearly 10 years until his own passing. The story of Hachiko became a national legend in Japan, symbolizing loyalty and love.

When Gere took on the role of Professor Parker Wilson in the American adaptation, he knew he was stepping into a story that would touch hearts. During filming, Gere developed a real-life bond with the dogs who played Hachiko. This connection was so strong that it mirrored the deep emotional ties depicted in the movie. Gere has often spoken about how the experience of making the film profoundly affected him, not just as an actor but as a person. He became an advocate for animal rights, using his platform to raise awareness about the humane treatment of animals.

The film’s release sparked a wave of emotional reactions across the globe. Audiences were moved to tears by the portrayal of such pure, unwavering loyalty. Social media lit up with stories of people sharing their own experiences with pets, and the hashtag #HachiLove trended as fans around the world celebrated the bond between humans and their four-legged friends.

One viral moment came when a fan-created video montage, set to the film’s poignant soundtrack, was shared widely online. It featured scenes from the movie alongside images of real-life Hachiko, interspersed with clips of people and their pets waiting for them to come home. The video captured the essence of what made Hachiko’s story so universal—the idea that love knows no bounds, even in the face of time and loss.

Richard Gere’s involvement in *Hachi: A Dog’s Tale* is more than just another role in his illustrious career; it’s a testament to the power of storytelling and the unique bond between humans and animals. The story of Hachiko, immortalized by Gere’s heartfelt performance, continues to inspire and move people, making it a timeless tale of loyalty, love, and the enduring connection between man and dog.

 


Wednesday, November 20, 2024

"Donald Trump will be the next president of the United States"

 


I’m not certain it’s possible to understand what happened in the 2024 election this close to it, beyond the undeniable outcome: Donald Trump will be the next president of the United States. For two weeks now, people have been trying to assemble the pieces of how we got here, but it’s like the old proverb about blind men feeling different parts of an elephant. Depending on where you’re situated, you might feel a trunk, or a leg, or a patch of hide, but you don’t really get a sense of the whole thing.

Still, it’s hard not to want to try and understand. For one thing, that’s critical for the midterm election, which is painful to think about right now, but could become a very real way of setting limits on the damage Trump can do to democracy by installing a functioning legislative branch to check him—as the Founding Fathers intended.

One good reason for trying to diagnose what went wrong is to see if it’s possible to reassemble and strengthen what so many people were convinced was a pro-democracy coalition assembled to defeat Trump. Putting it back together, more successfully, in time to save the country at the midterms, resulting in a Democratic-led House and Senate, would be a significant check and balance on a bloated executive branch.

There are lots of attempts to explain the 2024 election. Many voters said something along the lines of, they were unhappy with the government and wanted to try something new. These voters were concerned about the economy (although even The Wall Street Journal conceded it was the strongest in the world), the price of gasoline, and other similar issues that amounted to little more than a permission structure for voting for Trump.

It was all summed up for me a few days after the election, in a conversation with an acquaintance who said they’d voted for Harris, but at least “my portfolio is doing great this week.”

Voters who ignored the facts about the economy and used them as an excuse to vote for Trump weren’t people who wanted a change. They were people who, actually, didn’t want any change at all. They didn't like new policies advanced by the Biden-Harris administration; a more inclusive vision of America where traditionally marginalized people had equal opportunity.

They didn’t want a new generation of leadership. They wanted the “old stability,” the patriarchy that has run the country for generations. In many ways, that's what’s at the heart of the conservative coalition. It's not a rejection of the established order; it's an embrace of it.

If that’s what Trump voters thought they were getting, they may be sorely disappointed. As I wrote, in a piece about Trump’s coming plans for mass deportation to be published later this week on Cafe.com, the Trump presidency isn’t a pick-your-adventure experience, where you can get some parts of Trump’s plan, but not all of it.

Steve Bannon, hosting his War Room podcast on November 15 said: “Donald Trump and his revolution is in charge now. And that revolution is going to make its way from Mar-a-Lago and from every part of the country, like Andrew Jackson, it's going to converge on the imperial capitol in late January.

And yes, we're going to burn some of these institutions down to the ground. Because you know why? They need to be burned down to the ground. Metaphorically. As the process of creative destruction. The process of the structure of revolutions, the paradigm shift has impact.”

Trump delegate and New Jersey Republican Mike Crispi tweeted: “Will RFK get confirmed? Will Gaetz get confirmed? The answer is YES… as long as Johnson and Thune hold true to their word to support the President’s agenda. Recess appointments solve all. It’s time to WIN!”

Recess appointments, to the extent they “solve[s] all,” do so at the expense of the Constitution, as we’ve been discussing this week. Appointing people to run cabinet level agencies who are opposed to the work or the people who do the work won’t help.

Trump doesn’t want to do the hard work of governing, and he has expressed little interest in helping the American people—certainly not all of them, and especially not the ones who didn’t vote for him. He has no interest in remaking government, because he doesn’t understand it. Trump wants to protect himself, not the people.

Thinking a vote for Trump was a rejection of “elites” is part of the weak tea biography Trump sold to far too many Americans—the idea that he, the guy who started out on third base, hit and would continue hitting homes runs for them. Trump appeals to people who want to slide into home without having to run all the bases; that’s his ultimate appeal, the cheat who somehow manages to succeed, surrounded by his billionaire friends.

In her concession speech, Kamala Harris reminded us that “Sometimes the fight takes a while. That doesn't mean we won't win. Don't ever give up, don't ever stop trying to make the world a better place.” It was a battle cry disguised as a concession speech. Although it’s taken a while, I’m ready to get started.

Kamala Harris: The fight for our country is always worth it. Joe Biden: Giving up is unforgivable

Is there a chance Trump has now consolidated all the power he needs to become an autocrat, a dictator? Absolutely. When people tell you who they are, believe them. But might we still find ways to limit the damage, to make a midterm election and a democratic future possible? I’m counting on it.

I don’t know what that looks like yet. But what I want to say to you tonight is, don’t give up. Trump is not inevitable. Good people have found a way to defend democracy in other countries, and we will do it here too. Many of the people who thought they were voting for return-to-stability-Trump or I-will-fix-it-Trump are going to be in for a shock.

People who voted their pocketbook without concern for their children, or at least their ability to find someone to clean their house, are going to be in for a rude awakening. We’ll get back on our game and be ready by the time Trump is sworn into office.

We’re in this together,

-Joyce Vance