A writer must “know and have an ever-present consciousness that this world is a world of fools and rogues… tormented with envy, consumed with vanity; selfish, false, cruel, cursed with illusions… He should free himself of all doctrines, theories, etiquettes, politics…” —Ambrose Bierce (1842-1914?). “The nobility of the writer's occupation lies in resisting oppression, thus in accepting isolation” —Albert Camus (1913-1960). “What are you gonna do” —Bertha Brown (1895-1987).
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Saturday, October 31, 2020
Friday, October 30, 2020
A Letter from Bob Lyons Regarding TRS of Illinois
“The TRS Board has asked for a contribution of $5.69 billion from the state for Fiscal Year 2022, an increase of 10.7% over the current year’s $5.14 billion. Our return on our investments was finally calculated for FY 2020 ending on June 30 at 0.55%. Halfway through the fiscal year on December 31 we were up 13.4 %, but the effect of COVID-19 on the market brought us down to just above breakeven.
“The system’s unfunded liability increased by $2.6 billion to a total of $80.7 billion. Total liability – all benefits to all TRS members for all time is calculated to have increased by $4.1 billion to $135.6 billion. We ended the fiscal year with $51.6 billion in assets.
“Despite the growth of the unfunded liability in FY 2020, the funded status of TRS remained relatively stable at 40.5 percent compared to 40.6 percent in FY 2019.
“Since the start of this fiscal year our fund has grown and in mid-October our fund had improved to over $54 billion. The stock market of course has been down with the current increase in COVID cases and hospitalizations. What is important for all of us that are currently retired is we are covered, that there is more than enough money to pay our pensions.
“If the Fair Tax Amendment passes on election day, the state next year will have several billion more in revenue. If Biden is the new president and the Democrats control both houses of Congress, Illinois will get additional help from the Federal Government. If the constitutional amendment does not pass and/or the Democrats are not successful on the federal level, the State of Illinois is going to be looking for new sources of revenue.
“Even with the last year where we barely showed a profit TRS has shown positive returns for every year in the last decade and has a 40-year average of annual returns of nine percent.”
-Bob Lyons, former TRS Trustee
A Letter from Alzheimer’s Association to the FDA
Peripheral and Central Nervous System Drugs Advisory
Committee Center for Drug Evaluation and Research
Food and
Drug Administration
10903 New
Hampshire Avenue
Building
31, Room 2417
Silver
Spring, Maryland 20993-0002
October 23, 2020
Re: Docket No. FDA-2018-N-0410: Peripheral and Central Nervous System Drugs Advisory Committee; Notice of Meeting; Establishment of a Public Docket; Request for Comments
To Members of the Peripheral and Central Nervous System Drugs Advisory Committee,
On behalf of the Alzheimer’s
Association, all those living with Alzheimer’s disease, their caregivers, and
their families, we are grateful to the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for
convening this advisory committee and for so carefully weighing this
therapeutic agent, which may address the underlying biology of Alzheimer’s
disease.
For decades, millions of Americans
and their loved ones have waited for access to such a therapy as they have
faced this relentless disease. Currently, more than 5 million Americans are
living with Alzheimer’s disease. This number will only grow as our nation ages.
By 2050, a projected 13.8 million Americans 65 and older may have
Alzheimer’s.1
As the leading voluntary health
organization in Alzheimer’s care, support, and research, each year we speak
with hundreds of thousands of families through our 24/7 Helpline and serve
communities by providing education and support to people living with this
disease and their families every day. We hear from people who are devastated
and confused, struggling to process a diagnosis that some doctors still fear to
deliver, and from those trying to determine how to continue to function in the
face of a progressive, fatal decline. Through our work, we have witnessed firsthand
the devastating toll Alzheimer’s disease takes on individuals, their
caregivers, and families.
While everyone experiences the
disease differently, the trajectory of cognitive and functional decline is
currently inevitable, and the disease is fatal. For individuals living with
Alzheimer’s, they lose more of themselves as it progresses. It’s not just
memories they lose. They lose the ability to participate in the
world around them. They lose their independence. All of those affected die with
or of Alzheimer’s disease.
For the person with the disease, a
diagnosis is devastating. But they aren’t the only ones affected. For families
and friends, watching a once vibrant, curious, and articulate loved one slip
away can be heart-wrenching. But on top of the emotional pain, they become
caregivers. They take on overwhelming tasks in order to support the person in
their daily life, including bathing and dressing, feeding, keeping them safe,
and making every single decision for them all day, every day. And often they do
so at great personal expense to their health, economic security, and emotional
well-being.
In 2019 alone, caregivers of people with dementia provided an estimated 18.6 billion hours of unpaid assistance. Nearly half of dementia caregivers (49 percent) indicate that providing help is highly stressful compared with 35 percent of caregivers of people without dementia. This disproportionate reporting of stress compared to other caregivers is not surprising. Caring for a person with Alzheimer’s poses special challenges. Individuals with Alzheimer’s require increasing levels of supervision and personal care as the disease progresses.
People in the middle to later stages of Alzheimer’s experience losses in judgment, orientation, and the ability to understand and communicate effectively. The personality and behavior of a person with Alzheimer’s are affected as well, and these changes are often among the most challenging for family caregivers and can often lead to placement in a long-term care community. That is why the decision before the members of this committee is so critical. There is a dire and drastic need to offer relief and support to the millions of Americans impacted each day by the crushing realities of Alzheimer’s.
Given the devastating toll of this
disease, the publicly released data justifies approval accompanied by a Phase 4
post-marketing surveillance study. The alternative, requiring completion of an
additional Phase 3 trial, would deny broad access up to four years while it is
completed. A four-year delay is too long to wait for millions of Americans
facing a progressive, fatal disease. A four-year delay is too long to wait for
millions of American caregivers. While the trial data has led to some
uncertainty among the scientific community, this must be weighed against the
certainty of what this disease will do to millions of Americans absent a
treatment. The potential to delay decline would be denied to millions, and that
time lost for those spouses, partners, moms, dads, grandmothers, grandfathers,
aunts, uncles, friends, and neighbors cannot be recovered. In the balance of
these considerations, we urge approval.
Given the potential this therapy
may offer, we are grateful for the advisory committee's careful consideration
of all evidence and information, and we deeply respect and appreciate the FDA’s
role in the health and safety of our constituents and its adherence to a
rigorous scientific review. Thank you for the opportunity to comment. The Alzheimer’s Association
would be glad to serve as a resource to the FDA as it considers aducanumab,
future therapies, and any other issue related to Alzheimer's disease and other
dementia. Please do not hesitate to contact Laura Thornhill,
Senior Associate Director, Regulatory Affairs, at lthornhill@alz-aim.org or 202.638.7042 if we can be of additional assistance.
Sincerely,
Joanne Pike,
DrPH Chief Strategy Officer
Thursday, October 29, 2020
Trump Administration to permit logging in the world’s largest intact temperate rainforest
“The Trump administration has announced it will
lift protections in Alaska’s Tongass national forest, permitting logging in the
world’s largest intact temperate rainforest. Experts call the
Tongass the ‘lungs of the country’ and one of nation’s last remaining bulwarks
against climate change. Located on the southern coast of Alaska, it is
made up of centuries-old western cedar, hemlock and Sitka spruce trees, and is
home to immense biodiversity, including the largest-known concentration of bald
eagles.
“‘It’s ironic that this administration is trying to tout this
president’s environmental record when [Trump is] unwinding environmental
safeguards all over the place,’ said Ken Rait, project director of the Pew
Charitable Trust, who two decades ago helped win the protections that Donald
Trump is now undoing. ‘And lifting protections on the Tongass, the nation’s
flagship forest, is about the most egregious of all of them.’
“The administration’s decision ignores overwhelming public
support for keeping protections in place on the Tongass, including resolutions
from six south-east Alaska tribes and six south-east Alaska city councils
against lifting protections. Of the public comments solicited on the plan, 96%
were in favor of keeping protections in places. Tribes also petitioned the
government to protect customary cultural use areas of the Tongass. ‘All other
avenues to protect our homelands have been exhausted, to little avail,’ they
wrote in their petition.
“The Tongass has been safeguarded since 2001 by a ‘roadless
rule,’ which prohibits road construction, road reconstruction and timber
harvesting in designated areas of national forests. It barred the construction
of roads on some 58.5m acres, and in addition to the environmental benefits,
the rule was motivated to protect US taxpayers from the costs of maintaining a
web of US Forest Service roads ‘long enough to go to the moon and most of the
way back with no way to maintain them,’ said Rait.
“Tourism has soared, and the forest support some of the last
productive wild salmon runs in the world, and a billion-dollar commercial
fishing industry. A 2019 scientific analysis showed
that the Tongass absorbs more carbon than any other national forest, on a level
with the world’s most dense terrestrial carbon sinks in South America.
“After a brief private meeting between the president and the
Alaska governor, Mike Dunleavy, aboard Air Force One in June 2019, Trump ordered his administration to lift
all protections from the forest. According to Rait, ‘between taxpayer expenses
and the fact that the majority of logs cut on the Tongass will be exported to
China and other Pacific Rim nations, today’s decision isn’t going to have
robust economic benefits to anyone in this country.’
“A recent report from the Center for Sustainable Economy
documented taxpayer losses of nearly $2bn a year from federal logging programs,
largely due to the fact that demand for timber has been flagging
nationally. ‘The Tongass is America’s Amazon,’ Adam Kolton, executive
director of Alaska Wilderness League, said in a statement. ‘This
presidentially directed move to gut roadless protections for our nation’s
largest and most biologically rich national forest is a calamity for our
climate, for wildlife and for the outdoor recreation economy of south-east
Alaska’” (Trump to gut protections in Alaska’s Tongass forest, the “lungs of
the country” The Guardian).
Wednesday, October 28, 2020
A Skeptic’s Guide to Election Day 2020 (Politico)
You
might be wondering: How do we know this election is legitimate? We’re glad you
asked. America is just one week from Election Day, but many voters continue to
tell us they are confused about the rules and processes that govern the
election — and downright skeptical that it will be administered in a fair,
accurate and transparent way.
Having
spent the last few months attempting to separate fact from fiction, we thought
it would be useful to answer the most common questions and concerns we’ve found
in one place, from the specifics of how mail voting works to the reasons why
some states count ballots faster than others. We hope you’ll share this with
your friends and family to spread awareness of what to expect next week and
why. Without further ado, here is POLITICO’s Skeptic’s Guide to Election Day
2020.
I'm worried my ballot won't count. Do they get thrown out for no
reason?
No,
ballots aren’t thrown out for no reason. But they can be rejected for not
meeting the very specific criteria demanded by your jurisdiction. This is
especially relevant for people voting by mail. If a ballot is returned with a
signature that is determined to not match the signature on file, for example,
or if it is returned without the proper envelope (and sometimes there are
multiple envelopes! All of these rules vary by state), the local clerk’s office
can reject a ballot.
You
should carefully examine the fine print included with your ballot material, and
if you have any questions, contact your local clerk’s office. The good news is
that many election bureaus now allow citizens to track their ballots, from the
time they are mailed until the time they are received and processed, so you can
make sure yours gets counted. To find information on your state, you can visit CanIVote.org,
an informational website set up by the bipartisan National Association of
Secretaries of State.
Why are so many people suddenly being allowed to vote by mail?
Isn’t this just a knee-jerk response to Covid-19?
Actually,
most states were giving voters the option to vote by mail before the pandemic
arrived. According to the bipartisan National Conference of State Legislatures,
34 states and Washington, D.C., already offer, at the very least, permanent no-excuse absentee voting,
meaning any voter in those states can request a mail ballot. In the 2018 elections,
one-quarter of all voters cast their ballot by mail, according to research from the Election Assistance Commission,
a federal agency. A tally from the Brennan Center, a voting rights organization
housed at New York University, showed that more than one-third of voters in 10
states cast their ballots by mail in
the last midterm elections.
Now,
several states that did not previously offer mail voting to everyone are
allowing it for the 2020 election, either by allowing voters to cite Covid-19
as their excuse for requesting an absentee ballot or by waiving their
requirement altogether. Only five states still require an excuse, beyond fear
of the pandemic, for citizens who want to vote by mail: Indiana, Louisiana,
Mississippi, Tennessee and Texas.
But
wait. Isn’t it true that ballots have been mass-mailed out to everyone?
No.
Not even close. Most voters will not be mailed a ballot unless they have
requested one. At the beginning of 2020, there were only five states — Hawaii,
Oregon, Washington, Colorado and Utah — where every registered voter is sent a
ballot, a system often known as “universal vote by mail.”
Because
of the pandemic, four additional states adopted laws this year to mail ballots
to all registered voters: California, Nevada, New Jersey and Vermont, along
with Washington, D.C. Additionally, most voters in Montana are automatically receiving
a ballot, but that decision is made on a county-by-county basis. You’ll notice
that of all the states we listed, only one, Nevada, could be generously
described as a presidential battleground. The truth is, in the nine or 10 most
competitive battleground states — the places where this election will be won or
lost — a voter will not receive a ballot in the mail unless they applied for it
and were verified by their clerk’s office.
The media always insists that voter fraud isn’t real. But aren’t
there documented cases of it? And isn’t absentee voting far more vulnerable to
manipulation than in-person voting?
It's
not that election fraud isn’t real; it’s just extremely rare, on whatever kind
of scale you use. That’s partially because it’s so challenging. Even if you’re
willing to risk a federal sentence, there are so many safeguards in place —
from individualized ballot bar codes to signature matching to voter database
verifications — that defrauding the system is extremely difficult on an
individual basis, much less on a bigger scale.
Election
experts say that prominent cases of election fraud show how tough it is to pull
it off, and how easy it is for officials to detect it. It’s difficult to cheat
in American elections, and the evidence suggests that attempts at cheating are
usually caught. The most prominent recent case was in North Carolina’s 9th
Congressional District, where in 2018 a Republican consultant illegally collected and marked
ballots on behalf of a candidate. But local election
officials cracked the scheme and declined to certify the results, instead
calling for a new election.
Now,
some election experts do note that, historically, it’s been slightly easier for
voter fraud to occur with mail ballots as opposed to in-person votes. But it’s
getting harder: The security technology utilized in mail voting systems has
advanced so dramatically that many of those same experts believe it’s close to
a wash at this point. In a Washington Post study of
three states with universal vote-by-mail programs, analysts found “just 372
possible cases of double voting or voting on behalf of deceased people out of
about 14.6 million votes cast by mail in the 2016 and 2018 general elections,
or 0.0025 percent.”
The
other reason I don’t like mail voting is the delays it’s going to cause on
election night. Why will some states have final results on Nov. 3, but other
states won’t have final results for days or even weeks later?
It’s
a good question. Every state has different rules governing when local clerks
can process mail ballots, a procedure which includes everything from checking
voter signatures to opening the envelopes containing the ballots to loading the
ballots into scanners for counting. Some states, like Florida, allow election
officials to start processing mail ballots well ahead of Election Day, and the
head start allows for faster reporting of results after the polls close. Other
states, such as Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, don’t allow officials to start
processing mail ballots until Election Day.
Under
normal circumstances, that state-by-state distinction wouldn’t mean much — the
difference between Florida’s reporting of final results and Wisconsin’s might
be a matter of hours. But this year, because of the historic number of voters
utilizing mail-in voting, there will be a more pronounced gap in tallying time
between states. (Also, keep in mind that some states, such as Pennsylvania,
will count ballots that are postmarked by Election Day and arrive some days
later, as long as they reach election offices before a receipt deadline. That
will also drag out tallying times.)
It’s
important to realize that there’s nothing unusual about a political race going
uncalled for days or even a few weeks. In 2018, the Arizona Senate race and a
number of competitive House races were among the midterm campaigns that took
time beyond election night to resolve. There are always some races that are too
close to call in every election, and we have to wait for the final results.
Sometimes there are recounts and recanvassing of votes. That’s OK, too. Clerks
have an obligation not to count fast, but to count accurately.
If
you’re feeling impatient on election night, blame the media! We’re the ones
clamoring for quick answers. The television networks and the Associated Press
all have dedicated decision desks that project the winners of races up and down
the ballot based on a combination of vote tallies and exit polling data. (The
exit polls, combined with what we know about party registration and other
relevant data, are why media outlets often call certain states, like New York
or Wyoming, before a single vote is counted.) That said, in close elections,
media outlets won’t project a winner until the vast majority of votes are
counted and reported. And this year, because of the backlog of mail ballots in
some states, it could take a few days for enough votes to be counted to give us
a clear idea of who won and who lost a close election.
But wouldn’t a long delay open the door to mischief behind the
scenes? Can I really trust the people counting all those late-arriving ballots?
First
of all, the vote-counting process is incredibly transparent. Many jurisdictions
have taken to livestreaming the rooms where it happens, and local parties are
typically entitled to have representatives, known as “poll watchers,” observing
the process. (They need to register ahead of time; concerned citizens are not
authorized to just show up at a clerk’s office and attempt to supervise
election activity.)
The
level of oversight and scrutiny involved cannot be overstated. There are not
only cameras monitoring the activity and party representatives serving as a
check on the vote-counters; there are also the clerks themselves. These are
highly trained people with intimate knowledge of their precincts. They know how
to spot irregularities because they know exactly what to look for. If the
federal government was in charge of counting ballots, you could have a real
cause for concern. The hyperlocal way in which we administer elections brings
its own challenges, but it also allows for maximum accountability — and with
it, maximum accuracy.
A
final thing to keep in mind: The people counting ballots are your neighbors.
The people who go to your place of worship, shop in your grocery store or
participate in your PTA meetings are the same ones making sure your vote is
tallied correctly. (And, we should note, this happens anonymously. Poll workers
cannot associate names with ballots.)
It’s
true that some jurisdictions have partisan election officials, who seek office
under the banner of a party affiliation. But these clerks are some of the most
competent people you find in government, not fire-breathers and conspiracy
theorists. Moreover, they are surrounded by bipartisan teams of civic-minded
people who do tremendous work to preserve the integrity of our elections. You
should thank them for it.
What
happens if both candidates declare victory on election night? Who steps in to
resolve it?
The
media’s most basic task this November is to explain the nature of election
results — why some states have finished counting, why other states are still
tabulating, and why a candidate’s declaration of victory may or may not be
premature, if it comes to that. As we already discussed, we may not know who
won the presidency on election night, because some key states will
get such a late start counting millions of mail ballots. (There are also a few narrow paths through
the Electoral College that could produce a quicker-than-expected election night
call.) A delay isn’t a sign of fraud or malfeasance — it just means election
officials are taking time to tabulate the results.
So,
if a candidate declares victory before we really know the results, we can just
say that. There’s just no way, if the presidential candidates are neck and neck
in a host of swing states, for either of them to credibly claim victory.
Of course, anyone is free to declare a victory. But the winner of the presidency isn’t determined by who calls it first, no more than our hopes and dreams for our favorite struggling sports teams affect the results of their games. The winner of the presidency is determined by the tallying of results in November, followed by a vote by the Electoral College in December, followed by the formal certification of that Electoral College vote by Congress in January, several weeks before Inauguration Day.
Tuesday, October 27, 2020
TRS paid lawyers six figures to probe brass/ FBI expresses interest by Bruce Rushton, Illinois Times
The state pension system for
Illinois teachers spent nearly $700,000 on lawyers to investigate two top
officials at Teachers' Retirement System, one who was fired in June and the
other who resigned in August after being placed on administrative leave.
The figure comes from TRS's
response to a Freedom of Information Act request from Illinois Times,
which asked for billing records, personnel records and a copy of reports
outlining any allegations of wrongdoing by Richard Ingram, former TRS executive
director who resigned in August, and Jana Bergschneider, the pension system's
chief financial officer, who was terminated by Ingram in July.
The nature of investigations
conducted by two Chicago law firms isn't clear. TRS refused to turn over
reports on any impropriety, proven or not, by either Bergschneider or Ingram.
Bergschneider was hired last month as a fiscal officer by the state appellate
defenders office at an annual salary of $120,000, which is $70,000 less than
she earned at the teachers' pension system, according to records in the state
comptroller's ofice. Reached by Illinois Times, she declined to
answer questions about her new position or why she was hired for a state job
despite being fired by TRS. Ingram could not be reached for comment.
The FBI has shown an interest in
Ingram's departure from TRS. Seven days after his resignation, a
Springfield-based special agent asked for a copy of a report on an
investigation conducted by the Chicago law firm of King and Spalding, which TRS
paid more than $577,000 between March and September to conduct the
investigation that resulted in the executive director's resignation. It's not
clear whether TRS turned over a report to the FBI. The agent declined comment.
TRS in August would not say whether the investigation uncovered evidence of
criminal activity, and it remains unclear why Ingram was placed on
administrative leave by unanimous vote of the TRS board during a special board
meeting convened days before his resignation.
The King and Spalding
investigation into Ingram was headed by Zachary Fardon, former U.S. attorney
for northern Illinois, who billed TRS $1,116 per hour of his time; Michael Johnston,
a fellow partner in the firm, was paid $1,129 per hour. In addition to King and
Spalding, TRS paid nearly $114,000 to the Chicago law firm of Elrod Friedman,
also between March and September, according to records provided in response to
the newspaper's request for bills paid to firms that investigated Ingram and
Bergschneider. Ingram approved payments to Elrod Friedman until his departure
from TRS, the records show, while King and Spalding sent bills directly to
Devon Bruce, TRS board chairman.
In a July 2 letter to
Bergschneider, Ingram wrote that she was being fired due to work performance
and conduct related to the procurement process for the Gemini Project, a
software overhaul aimed at modernizing the agency's pension administration
system. The Gemini Project, which last March was expected to go live in
January, now is undergoing review, according to a request for proposals issued
last month by TRS.
In its request for proposals, TRS
asked prospective bidders to evaluate the Gemini Project, which has been under
construction for two years, and "conduct a high-level review, assessment
and oversight." Bidders were told that the pension system, among other
things, wanted to know whether the project was properly planned, whether
"rigorous methodology" was followed and whether issues were being
addressed in a timely manner.
With $53.4 billion in its
investment portfolio, TRS is the state's largest pension system. As of the end
of last year, the system was underfunded by 40%, but TRS paints a rosy picture
on its website, saying that the pension system expects to break even on the
fiscal year that ended June 30 and has a 40-year return of nine percent, higher than the
target of seven percent.
Illinois Times
Jared Kushner
“White House adviser Jared Kushner described Black America's
issues with inequality and racism as ‘complaining’ in an interview Monday. ‘The
thing we've seen in the Black community, which is mostly Democrat,’ he said on ‘Fox
& Friends,’ ‘is that President Trump's policies are the policies that can
help people break out of the problems that they're complaining about, but he
can't want them to be successful more than they want to be successful.’
“Kushner's words appeared to blame Black Americans' disproportionate
lack of wealth and job opportunities, as well as health disparities and other
inequalities, on a lack of drive — suggesting that the problem is that Black
Americans don't 'want' success enough. However, his comments did not
address the roots of systemic racism.
“‘This dismissive approach to the issues that Black voters care
about is indicative of Trump's callousness and disregard for the lives of Black
people,’ Brandon Gassaway, the Democratic National Committee's national press
secretary, said in a statement. ‘We cannot afford another four years of a White
House that does not take our voices seriously and tells us to be grateful for
whatever scraps are left over from the bargaining table. We need leaders who
not only value our input but prioritize and act upon it. Joe Biden and Kamala
Harris are those leaders, and Black voters will continue to show up to the
polls in record numbers to ensure that Donald Trump, Jared Kushner, and this
failed administration get the message.’…” (NBC).
Monday, October 26, 2020
Sunday, October 25, 2020
“The goal of any tool to fight this pandemic is to slow the spread of the virus and save lives. Universal masking will do both”
“Masks slow the spread of SARS-CoV-2 by reducing how much infected people spray the virus into the environment around them when they cough or talk.
“Evidence from laboratory experiments, hospitals and whole
countries show that masks
work, and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommends face coverings for the U.S. public.
With all this evidence, mask wearing has become the norm in many places.
“I am an infectious disease doctor and a professor
of medicine at the University of California, San Francisco. As
governments and workplaces began to recommend or mandate mask wearing, my
colleagues and I noticed an interesting trend. In places where most people wore
masks, those who did get infected seemed dramatically
less likely to get severely ill compared to places with less
mask-wearing.
“It seems people get
less sick if they wear a mask. When you wear a mask – even a cloth
mask – you typically are exposed to a lower
dose of the coronavirus than if you didn’t. Both recent
experiments in animal models using coronavirus and nearly
a hundred
years of viral research show that lower viral doses usually
means less severe disease.
“No mask is perfect, and wearing one might not prevent you from getting infected. But it might be the difference between a case of COVID-19 that sends you to the hospital and a case so mild you don’t even realize you’re infected.
Exposure dose determines
severity of disease
“When you breathe in a
respiratory virus, it immediately begins hijacking any cells it lands near
to turn them into virus production machines. The
immune system tries to stop this process to halt the spread of the virus.
“The amount of virus that
you’re exposed to – called the viral inoculum, or dose – has a lot to
do with how sick you get. If the exposure dose is very high, the
immune response can become overwhelmed. Between the virus taking over huge
numbers of cells and the immune system’s drastic efforts to contain the
infection, a lot of damage is done to the body and a person can become very
sick.
“On the other hand, if
the initial dose of the virus is small, the immune system is able to contain
the virus with less drastic measures. If this happens, the person experiences
fewer symptoms, if any.
“This concept of viral
dose being related to disease severity has been around for almost a century. Many animal studies have
shown that the higher the dose of a virus you give an animal, the more
sick it becomes. In 2015, researchers tested this concept in human
volunteers using a nonlethal flu virus and found the same result. The higher
the flu virus dose given to the volunteers, the
sicker they became.
“In July, researchers
published a paper showing that viral dose was related to disease severity in
hamsters exposed to the coronavirus. Hamsters who were given a higher viral
dose got more sick than hamsters given a lower dose.
Based on this body of research, it seems very likely that if you are exposed to
SARS-CoV-2, the lower the dose, the less sick you will get. So, what can a
person do to lower the exposure dose?
Masks reduce viral dose
“Most infectious disease researchers and epidemiologists believe
that the coronavirus is mostly
spread by airborne droplets and, to a lesser extent, tiny
aerosols. Research shows that both cloth and surgical masks can block
the majority of particles that could contain SARS-CoV-2. While no
mask is perfect, the goal is not to block all of the virus, but simply reduce
the amount that you might inhale. Almost any mask will successfully block some
amount.
“Laboratory experiments have shown that good cloth masks and
surgical masks could block at least 80% of
viral particles from entering your nose and mouth. Those particles
and other contaminants will get trapped in the fibers of the mask, so the CDC
recommends washing your cloth mask after each use if possible.
“The final piece of experimental evidence showing that masks
reduce viral dose comes from another hamster experiment. Hamsters were divided
into an unmasked group and a masked group by placing surgical mask material
over the pipes that brought air into the cages of the masked group. Hamsters infected
with the coronavirus were placed in cages next to the masked and unmasked
hamsters, and air was pumped from the infected cages into the cages with
uninfected hamsters.
“As expected, the masked hamsters were less likely to get
infected with COVID-19. But when some of the masked hamsters did get
infected, they had more mild disease than the
unmasked hamsters.
Masks increase rate of
asymptomatic cases
“In July, the CDC estimated that around 40% of people infected with SARS-CoV-2 are asymptomatic,
and a number
of other studies have confirmed this number.
“However, in places where everyone wears masks, the rate of asymptomatic
infection seems to be much higher. In an outbreak on an Australian cruise ship called
the Greg Mortimer in late March, the passengers were all given surgical masks
and the staff were given N95 masks after the first case of COVID-19 was
identified. Mask usage was apparently very high, and even though 128 of the 217
passengers and staff eventually tested positive for the coronavirus, 81%
of the infected people remained asymptomatic.
“Further evidence has come from two more recent outbreaks, the
first at a seafood processing plant in Oregon and
the second at a chicken processing plant in Arkansas. In both
places, the workers were provided masks and required to wear them at all times.
In the outbreaks from both plants, nearly 95%
of infected people were asymptomatic.
“There is no doubt that universal mask wearing slows the spread
of the coronavirus. My colleagues and I believe that evidence from laboratory
experiments, case studies like the cruise ship and food processing plant
outbreaks and long-known biological principles make a strong case that masks
protect the wearer too.
“The goal of any tool to fight this pandemic is to slow the
spread of the virus and save lives. Universal masking will do both” (The
Conversation).
-Monica
Gandhi, Professor of Medicine, Division of HIV, Infectious
Diseases and Global Medicine, University of California, San Francisco
Saturday, October 24, 2020
Dear Retired Teacher: Imagine You Are a Teacher Today by Glen Brown
Dear Retired Teacher:
Imagine you are a teacher today.
You are afraid that you cannot teach effectively because you are afraid: You
are afraid of contracting the coronavirus and infecting your family and others.
You are afraid of your students contracting the coronavirus and infecting their
families. You are afraid for students who ride buses and for bus drivers who
bring them to school and home each day.
You are afraid that frequent
hand-washing is impossible for students to do throughout the entire day. You
are afraid there is not enough space in your classroom for proper distancing. You
are afraid of sharing classrooms. You are afraid social distancing and wearing
cloth masks for hours is impossible for students. You are afraid of students
eating lunches without masks, passing in hallways, and congregating in
bathrooms or by their lockers. You are afraid your students cannot safely
"socialize" in a pandemic despite the irrational push to send them to
school. You are afraid some parents will undermine your safety concerns.
You are afraid of airborne transmission of the coronavirus that thrives
indoors, especially in closed spaces. You are afraid the windows cannot be
opened or will not be opened in inclement weather. You are afraid your school's
ventilation system is antiquated or poor (where air is not properly filtered,
diluted and exchanged); that the HVAC system has not been upgraded and will
easily spread the coronavirus. You are afraid that every surface in your school
will not be sanitized each day.
You are afraid your school will have
insufficient Personal Protective Equipment to keep everyone healthy and safe,
such as portable HEPA air purifiers for each room, N-95 masks, Nitrile
gloves, face shields, Clorox wipes, hand sanitizers...
You are afraid you will not be able to tell the difference between the symptoms
of the coronavirus and the flu, or the difference between the coronavirus and
the common cold, or the difference between the coronavirus and common
allergies. You are afraid of asymptomatic carriers of the coronavirus.
You are afraid your school cannot guarantee everyone’s health and safety through reliable and consistent testing and professional contact tracing. You are afraid there are not enough nurses and custodians for each school. You are afraid administrators and the school board lack the expertise to determine health and safety measures for students, teachers and staff.
You are afraid of the blatant incompetence of some of your administrators, the risky agenda of the school board, and the selfish irrational priorities of many parents in your school district. You are afraid for your students’ lives. You are afraid of dying.
You would be afraid too.
Until this country has a unified and
coherent federal, state and local strategy; until the federal government increases
its funding for health and safety for all schools across this
nation; until there is federal funding for parents to assist with
their at-home childcare and technology and federal funding to feed
disadvantaged children; until business entrepreneurs and the Trump
administration solve the false choice they have created for parents of
school-age children—all schools and universities across this nation should open
only on online this fall and not until this pandemic is totally under control!
Furthermore, until the morons among us stop spreading misinformation and
conspiracies because of their own gullibility and ignorance; until the Creons
among us cease their stubbornness and spitefulness; until the pathological
narcissists among us end their gas-lighting, this unabated coronavirus will
continue to proliferate, and thousands of Americans will die.
Please help our teachers today. Get involved. Call your school district and express your concerns.
-Glen Brown
Retired Teacher
https://teacherpoetmusicianglenbrown.blogspot.com/2020/08/this-retired-teachers-concerns.html
Friday, October 23, 2020
Teaching During a Pandemic, Week 1 by Vikki Reid
📚”WhAt I LeArNeD In ScHoOl ThIs
WeEk”📚
🦠😷Teaching During A Pandemic-WEEK 1😷🦠
My classroom ranged from 47-55 degrees because the windows
are all open to increase circulation, except for Thursday, when it was 84 in my classroom because the heat was on.
My 12 desk stations are spaced 5 feet apart to fit my class
sizes, and in one class I have 13 students.
The school was to supply one mask for each student/staff
member, but we received an email that we ran out on Tuesday before the end of the day.
Teachers were provided one 16 oz. bottle of hand sanitizer for
each classroom, refillable at the bookstore during limited hours.
Teachers were provided one 24 oz. bottle of Dr. Joe’s spray for
teachers to sanitize the desks during the five-minute passing period; it takes
11 minutes for the spray on the desks to dry. Teachers were instructed to NOT
wipe it off.
Teachers were provided with a brown lunch bag of 20 Band-Aids,
two tampons, one sanitary napkin, five fabric masks, and one ice pack to treat
students who have minor incidents instead of sending them to the nurses office.
Teachers are to recognize students with masks on, who we have
never met in person, and be engaging and welcoming, while we balance remote
learning students Zooming who are projected on the screens for their classmates
to interact with, through a remote mic and speaker.
I share a classroom with a teacher from another department
during lunch study hall, so I have nowhere to work unless I sanitize a new
location in a shared office space.
The cockroach that I stepped on Monday in my classroom was still on the floor today. 🐜
“Deep cleaning” is only happening when a student who is Covid
positive has been in a classroom location, instead of every Wednesday during remote learning, according to the Buildings and
Grounds staff.
Teachers are being asked to track who leaves their seat, who
uses the washroom, who removes their mask, how long their masks are off, who
eats during class, and are asked to create seating charts for evidence of
investigation and contact tracing should a student become Covid positive.
The women’s faculty washroom in the B wing has not been
cleaned since last Friday, as evidenced by the unsanitary matter that still remains
dried after dripping down the door.
The faculty restroom only runs cold water, unless it runs for
over 4 minutes and 24 seconds before beginning to wash your hands.
Two feeder schools have sent out emails this week that they
currently have students quarantining after contact tracing from positive Covid
tests within their building.
On Thursday, OUR school sent families an email that there has been at
least one positive test result for Covid in one building, as contact tracing
continues.
Tragically, a 2020 alum lost his battle with
Covid this week.
Several of my colleagues are in isolation after this week,
from school and personal exposures.
And this afternoon, a friend and colleague headed to the ER
and was just admitted to the hospital, after having a fever of 102 for several
hours, with awaiting a Covid test result.
Is this virus still a hoax???? (That’s a rhetorical question,
of course.) 😷
We are...💙💛
$ 67,759,012—Annual Tax Revenue, 2019 School Report Card
4,050 students